Adagene Stock Technical Analysis
| ADAG Stock | USD 3.25 0.40 14.04% |
As of the 15th of February 2026, Adagene shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.1692, and Mean Deviation of 4.93. Adagene technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Adagene mean deviation, standard deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and information ratio to decide if Adagene is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 3.25 per share. Given that Adagene has jensen alpha of 1.24, we suggest you to validate Adagene's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Adagene Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Adagene, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AdageneAdagene's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Adagene Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 9.51 | Buy | 3 | Odds |
Most Adagene analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Adagene stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Adagene, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Adagene conference calls.
Can Biotechnology industry sustain growth momentum? Does Adagene have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adagene. If investors know Adagene will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Adagene demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Earnings Share (0.64) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.87) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Adagene is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Adagene that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Adagene's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Adagene's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Adagene's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Adagene's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Adagene's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Adagene represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Adagene's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Adagene 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Adagene's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Adagene.
| 11/17/2025 |
| 02/15/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Adagene on November 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Adagene or generate 0.0% return on investment in Adagene over 90 days. Adagene Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, and production of monocl... More
Adagene Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Adagene's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Adagene upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.21 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1882 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 33.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.06) | |||
| Potential Upside | 13.77 |
Adagene Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Adagene's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Adagene's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Adagene historical prices to predict the future Adagene's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1692 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.24 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.8048 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2361 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.58 |
Adagene February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1692 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.59 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.93 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.57 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.21 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 502.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.54 | |||
| Variance | 42.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1882 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.24 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.8048 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2361 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.58 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 33.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.06) | |||
| Potential Upside | 13.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 27.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.90) | |||
| Skewness | 0.8734 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.42 |
Adagene Backtested Returns
Adagene is risky given 3 months investment horizon. Adagene secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which signifies that the company had a 0.17 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.15% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Adagene risk adjusted performance of 0.1692, and Mean Deviation of 4.93 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Adagene holds a performance score of 13 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.82, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Adagene's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Adagene is expected to be smaller as well. Use Adagene mean deviation, standard deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and total risk alpha , to analyze future returns on Adagene.
Auto-correlation | -0.49 |
Modest reverse predictability
Adagene has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Adagene time series from 17th of November 2025 to 1st of January 2026 and 1st of January 2026 to 15th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Adagene price movement. The serial correlation of -0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current Adagene price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.49 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.09 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.31 |
Adagene technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Adagene Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Adagene across different markets.
About Adagene Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Adagene on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Adagene based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Adagene price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Adagene. By analyzing Adagene's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Adagene's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Adagene specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Current Ratio | 3.61 | 2.3 | 2.64 | 2.51 | Net Debt To EBITDA | 5.86 | 2.11 | 1.9 | 2.31 |
Adagene February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Adagene help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Adagene from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Adagene charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1692 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.59 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.93 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.57 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.21 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 502.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.54 | |||
| Variance | 42.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1882 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.24 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.8048 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2361 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.58 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 33.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.06) | |||
| Potential Upside | 13.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 27.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.90) | |||
| Skewness | 0.8734 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.42 |
Adagene February 15, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Adagene stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.15 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.80 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.14 | ||
| Day Median Price | 3.01 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 3.09 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.44 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.50 |
Complementary Tools for Adagene Stock analysis
When running Adagene's price analysis, check to measure Adagene's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adagene is operating at the current time. Most of Adagene's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adagene's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adagene's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adagene to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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