American Financial Group Stock Technical Analysis
| AFGE Stock | USD 17.43 0.02 0.11% |
As of the 30th of January, American Financial shows the risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Mean Deviation of 0.4244. American Financial technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm American Financial standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and potential upside to decide if American Financial is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 17.43 per share. Given that American Financial has information ratio of (0.17), we suggest you to validate American Financial Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
American Financial Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as American, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AmericanAmerican Financial's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Will Property & Casualty Insurance sector continue expanding? Could American diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Financial. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every American Financial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate American Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating American Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause American Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that American Financial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Financial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, American Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
American Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Financial.
| 11/01/2025 |
| 01/30/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in American Financial on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Financial Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Financial over 90 days. American Financial is related to or competes with Maiden Holdings, ProAssurance, Horace Mann, Slide Insurance, Columbia Financial, Lufax Holding, and Aspen Insurance. American Financial Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance products in the Unite... More
American Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Financial Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.92 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.8691 |
American Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Financial historical prices to predict the future American Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.13) |
American Financial January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.4244 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,583) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5716 | |||
| Variance | 0.3267 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.92 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.8691 | |||
| Skewness | 0.1978 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8907 |
American Financial Backtested Returns
American Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that the company had a close to zero % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. American Financial Group exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm American Financial's mean deviation of 0.4244, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.35, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, American Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding American Financial is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, American Financial has a negative expected return of -0.005%. Please make sure to confirm American Financial's potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if American Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.79 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
American Financial Group has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Financial time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current American Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.79 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.73 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.04 |
American Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
American Financial Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of American Financial volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About American Financial Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of American Financial Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Financial Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on American Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding American Financial. By analyzing American Financial's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of American Financial's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to American Financial specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0679 | 0.0686 | 0.0617 | 0.0648 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.3 | 1.39 | 1.25 | 0.7 |
American Financial January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of American help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.4244 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,583) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5716 | |||
| Variance | 0.3267 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.92 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.8691 | |||
| Skewness | 0.1978 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8907 |
American Financial January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 99.82 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.15) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 17.44 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 17.43 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) |
Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis
When running American Financial's price analysis, check to measure American Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Financial is operating at the current time. Most of American Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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