Alamos Gold Stock Forward View
| AGI Stock | USD 42.12 2.31 5.20% |
Alamos Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Alamos Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, The relative strength momentum indicator of Alamos Gold's share price is at 58. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Alamos Gold, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.25 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5702 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.41 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.6109 | Wall Street Target Price 51.5 |
Using Alamos Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alamos Gold from the perspective of Alamos Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Alamos Gold using Alamos Gold's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Alamos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Alamos Gold's stock price.
Alamos Gold Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Alamos Gold's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Alamos. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Alamos Gold stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 31.1988 | Short Percent 0.0116 | Short Ratio 2.97 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.6 M | 50 Day MA 38.2772 |
Alamos Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Alamos Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 43.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.01.Alamos Gold Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Alamos Gold's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alamos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alamos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alamos Gold. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Alamos Gold's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Alamos Gold.
Alamos Gold Implied Volatility | 0.68 |
Alamos Gold's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alamos Gold stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alamos Gold's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alamos Gold stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alamos Gold's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Alamos Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 43.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.01. Alamos Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 42.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alamos Gold to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Alamos contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Alamos Gold will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0425% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Alamos Gold trading at USD 42.12, that is roughly USD 0.0179 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Alamos Gold's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Alamos Gold options at the current volatility level of 0.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Alamos Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Alamos Gold's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Alamos Gold's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Alamos Gold stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Alamos Gold's open interest, investors have to compare it to Alamos Gold's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Alamos Gold is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Alamos. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Alamos Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alamos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alamos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alamos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Alamos Gold Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Alamos Gold's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1998-12-31 | Previous Quarter 344.9 M | Current Value 462.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 135.6 M |
Alamos Gold Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Alamos Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 43.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alamos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alamos Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Alamos Gold Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Alamos Gold | Alamos Gold Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Alamos Gold Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Alamos Gold's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alamos Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.27 and 46.62, respectively. We have considered Alamos Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alamos Gold stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alamos Gold stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3814 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8854 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0235 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 54.0123 |
Predictive Modules for Alamos Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alamos Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alamos Gold After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alamos Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alamos Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alamos Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alamos Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alamos Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alamos Gold's historical news coverage. Alamos Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.45 and 44.79, respectively. We have considered Alamos Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alamos Gold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alamos Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alamos Gold Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alamos Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alamos Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alamos Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.55 | 2.67 | 0.57 | 0.35 | 10 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
42.12 | 42.12 | 0.00 |
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Alamos Gold Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Alamos Gold is traded for 42.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.57, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.35. Alamos is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.55%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alamos Gold is about 422.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.47. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Alamos Gold was presently reported as 9.6. The company last dividend was issued on the 4th of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alamos Gold to cross-verify your projections.Alamos Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alamos Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alamos Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Alamos Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alamos Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Other Forecasting Options for Alamos Gold
For every potential investor in Alamos, whether a beginner or expert, Alamos Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alamos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alamos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alamos Gold's price trends.View Alamos Gold Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alamos Gold Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alamos Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alamos Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alamos Gold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alamos Gold entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 446864.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.62) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 43.08 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 42.76 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.12) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.31) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.01 |
Alamos Gold Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alamos Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alamos Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alamos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Variance | 7.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.75 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Alamos Gold
The number of cover stories for Alamos Gold depends on current market conditions and Alamos Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alamos Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alamos Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Alamos Gold Short Properties
Alamos Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alamos Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alamos Gold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alamos Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alamos Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 410.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 351.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alamos Gold to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Alamos Stock please use our How to Invest in Alamos Gold guide.You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is there potential for Metals & Mining market expansion? Will Alamos introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alamos Gold. If investors know Alamos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Alamos Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.25 | Dividend Share 0.1 | Earnings Share 1.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.281 |
Investors evaluate Alamos Gold using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Alamos Gold's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Alamos Gold's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alamos Gold's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alamos Gold represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Alamos Gold's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.