Austal Limited Stock Technical Analysis

AUTLF Stock  USD 5.18  0.32  5.82%   
As of the 28th of January, Austal shows the Mean Deviation of 3.56, downside deviation of 5.6, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0662. Austal Limited technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Austal Limited treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and kurtosis to decide if Austal Limited is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 5.18 per share. Given that Austal has jensen alpha of 0.2373, we suggest you to validate Austal Limited's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Austal Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Austal, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Austal
  
Austal's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Austal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Austal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Austal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Austal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Austal's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Austal.
0.00
10/30/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/28/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Austal on October 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Austal Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Austal over 90 days. Austal is related to or competes with Chemring Group, Chemring Group, Tav Havalimanlari, Lisi SA, GEK TERNA, Cadeler A/S, and Chiyoda Corp. Austal Limited engages in the design, manufacture, and support of vessels for commercial and defense customers worldwide More

Austal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Austal's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Austal Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Austal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Austal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Austal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Austal historical prices to predict the future Austal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.395.189.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.214.289.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.14.759.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.065.106.15
Details

Austal January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators

Austal Limited Backtested Returns

Austal appears to be unstable, given 3 months investment horizon. Austal Limited secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0727, which signifies that the company had a 0.0727 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Austal Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Austal's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0662, mean deviation of 3.56, and Downside Deviation of 5.6 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Austal holds a performance score of 5. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.83, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Austal will likely underperform. Please check Austal's downside variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Austal's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.11  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Austal Limited has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Austal time series from 30th of October 2025 to 14th of December 2025 and 14th of December 2025 to 28th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Austal Limited price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Austal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.11
Spearman Rank Test-0.14
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.34
Austal technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Austal technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Austal trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Austal Limited Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Austal Limited across different markets.

About Austal Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Austal Limited on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Austal Limited based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Austal Limited price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Austal Limited. By analyzing Austal's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Austal's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Austal specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Austal January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Austal help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Austal from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Austal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Austal January 28, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Austal stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Austal Pink Sheet analysis

When running Austal's price analysis, check to measure Austal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Austal is operating at the current time. Most of Austal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Austal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Austal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Austal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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