Carlyle Group Stock Technical Analysis
| CG Stock | USD 57.85 2.44 4.40% |
As of the 6th of February, Carlyle shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0389, downside deviation of 2.29, and Mean Deviation of 1.57. Carlyle Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Carlyle Group value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Carlyle Group is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 57.85 per share. Given that Carlyle has jensen alpha of 0.0053, we suggest you to validate Carlyle Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Carlyle Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Carlyle, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CarlyleCarlyle's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Carlyle Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 70.0 | Buy | 18 | Odds |
Most Carlyle analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Carlyle stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Carlyle Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Carlyle conference calls.
Can Asset Management & Custody Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does Carlyle have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carlyle. Projected growth potential of Carlyle fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Carlyle demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (1.00) | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share 1.78 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.95) |
Investors evaluate Carlyle Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Carlyle's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Carlyle's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Carlyle's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Carlyle should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Carlyle's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Carlyle 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Carlyle's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Carlyle.
| 11/08/2025 |
| 02/06/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Carlyle on November 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Carlyle Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Carlyle over 90 days. Carlyle is related to or competes with Apollo Global, Blackstone, Brookfield Asset, Ares Management, KKR Co, Blue Owl, and Hamilton Lane. The Carlyle Group Inc. is an investment firm specializing in direct and fund of fund investments More
Carlyle Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Carlyle's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Carlyle Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0216 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.01 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.46) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.24 |
Carlyle Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Carlyle's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Carlyle's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Carlyle historical prices to predict the future Carlyle's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0389 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0053 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0195 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0376 |
Carlyle February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0389 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0476 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2311.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Variance | 4.32 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0216 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0053 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0195 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0376 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.01 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.46) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.99 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.53) | |||
| Skewness | (0.39) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.5795 |
Carlyle Group Backtested Returns
At this point, Carlyle is very steady. Carlyle Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0528, which signifies that the company had a 0.0528 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Carlyle Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Carlyle's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0389, downside deviation of 2.29, and Mean Deviation of 1.57 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. Carlyle has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.13, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Carlyle will likely underperform. Carlyle Group right now shows a risk of 2.13%. Please confirm Carlyle Group semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to decide if Carlyle Group will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.62 |
Very good reverse predictability
Carlyle Group has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Carlyle time series from 8th of November 2025 to 23rd of December 2025 and 23rd of December 2025 to 6th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Carlyle Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Carlyle price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.62 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.26 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 7.71 |
Carlyle technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Carlyle Group Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Carlyle Group volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Carlyle Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Carlyle Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carlyle Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Carlyle Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Carlyle Group. By analyzing Carlyle's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Carlyle's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Carlyle specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0338 | 0.0278 | 0.0304 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.88 | 4.43 | 9.86 |
Carlyle February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Carlyle help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carlyle from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Carlyle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0389 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0476 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2311.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Variance | 4.32 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0216 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0053 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0195 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0376 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.01 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.46) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.99 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.53) | |||
| Skewness | (0.39) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.5795 |
Carlyle February 6, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Carlyle stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.04 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | ||
| Day Median Price | 56.63 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 57.04 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.44 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.44 |
Complementary Tools for Carlyle Stock analysis
When running Carlyle's price analysis, check to measure Carlyle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carlyle is operating at the current time. Most of Carlyle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carlyle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carlyle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carlyle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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