First Commerce Bank Stock Technical Analysis
| CMRB Stock | USD 6.65 0.05 0.75% |
As of the 6th of February, First Commerce shows the Mean Deviation of 0.8783, standard deviation of 1.47, and Coefficient Of Variation of 329.61. First Commerce Bank technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.
First Commerce Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst |
First Commerce 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Commerce's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Commerce.
| 11/08/2025 |
| 02/06/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Commerce on November 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Commerce Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Commerce over 90 days. First Commerce is related to or competes with United Bancshares, First Keystone, PSB Holdings, CommerceWest Bank, American Bank, Croghan Bancshares, and Dimeco. First Commerce Bank provides various banking products and services to small and medium-sized businesses, professional en... More
First Commerce Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Commerce's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Commerce Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.7813 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2424 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.92 |
First Commerce Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Commerce's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Commerce's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Commerce historical prices to predict the future First Commerce's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.249 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4448 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2908 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4564 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (4.07) |
First Commerce February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.249 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (4.06) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8783 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.7813 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 329.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Variance | 2.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2424 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4448 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2908 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4564 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (4.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.92 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6105 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.32) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.90) | |||
| Skewness | 3.2 | |||
| Kurtosis | 12.76 |
First Commerce Bank Backtested Returns
First Commerce appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. First Commerce Bank secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.3, which denotes the company had a 0.3 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for First Commerce Bank, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize First Commerce's Mean Deviation of 0.8783, coefficient of variation of 329.61, and Standard Deviation of 1.47 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, First Commerce holds a performance score of 24. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.11, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Commerce are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Commerce is likely to outperform the market. Please check First Commerce's expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether First Commerce's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.86 |
Very good predictability
First Commerce Bank has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Commerce time series from 8th of November 2025 to 23rd of December 2025 and 23rd of December 2025 to 6th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Commerce Bank price movement. The serial correlation of 0.86 indicates that approximately 86.0% of current First Commerce price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.86 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.63 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.04 |
First Commerce technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Commerce Bank Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Commerce Bank volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About First Commerce Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Commerce Bank on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Commerce Bank based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Commerce Bank price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Commerce Bank. By analyzing First Commerce's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Commerce's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Commerce specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
First Commerce February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.249 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (4.06) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8783 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.7813 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 329.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Variance | 2.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2424 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4448 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2908 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4564 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (4.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.92 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6105 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.32) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.90) | |||
| Skewness | 3.2 | |||
| Kurtosis | 12.76 |
First Commerce February 6, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 29.31 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.71) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 6.69 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 6.67 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) |
Complementary Tools for First Pink Sheet analysis
When running First Commerce's price analysis, check to measure First Commerce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Commerce is operating at the current time. Most of First Commerce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Commerce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Commerce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Commerce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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