First Northern Community Stock Technical Analysis

FNRN Stock  USD 14.64  0.06  0.41%   
As of the 21st of February, First Northern shows the Standard Deviation of 0.5165, mean deviation of 0.3139, and Coefficient Of Variation of 321.62. First Northern Community technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for eighteen technical drivers for First Northern Community, which can be compared to its peers.

First Northern Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to First
  
First Northern's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Northern's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Northern is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, First Northern's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

First Northern 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Northern's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Northern.
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11/23/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
02/21/2026
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If you would invest  0.00  in First Northern on November 23, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Northern Community or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Northern over 90 days. First Northern is related to or competes with TISCO Financial, Merchants Financial, FS Bancorp, and CCFNB Bancorp. First Northern Community Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for First Northern Bank of Dixon that provides com... More

First Northern Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Northern's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Northern Community upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

First Northern Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Northern's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Northern's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Northern historical prices to predict the future First Northern's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1714.6415.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5712.0416.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.2914.7615.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4914.5617.64
Details

First Northern February 21, 2026 Technical Indicators

First Northern Community Backtested Returns

As of now, First OTC Stock is very steady. First Northern Community secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.32, which denotes the company had a 0.32 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for First Northern Community, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm First Northern's Mean Deviation of 0.3139, coefficient of variation of 321.62, and Standard Deviation of 0.5165 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. First Northern has a performance score of 25 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0046, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Northern are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Northern is likely to outperform the market. First Northern Community right now shows a risk of 0.47%. Please confirm First Northern Community potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and period momentum indicator , to decide if First Northern Community will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.6  

Good reverse predictability

First Northern Community has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Northern time series from 23rd of November 2025 to 7th of January 2026 and 7th of January 2026 to 21st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Northern Community price movement. The serial correlation of -0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current First Northern price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.6
Spearman Rank Test-0.28
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.23
First Northern technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of First Northern technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of First Northern trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

First Northern Community Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Northern Community volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About First Northern Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Northern Community on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Northern Community based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this otc stock, focuses on First Northern Community price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Northern Community. By analyzing First Northern's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Northern's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Northern specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

First Northern February 21, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

First Northern February 21, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Other Information on Investing in First OTC Stock

First Northern financial ratios help investors to determine whether First OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Northern security.