Mcdonalds Stock Technical Analysis
| MCD Stock | USD 327.62 0.04 0.01% |
As of the 17th of February 2026, McDonalds secures the risk adjusted performance of 0.0921, and Mean Deviation of 0.7801. Concerning fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check available technical drivers of McDonalds, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify McDonalds coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if McDonalds is priced favorably, providing market reflects its recent price of 327.62 per share. Given that McDonalds has jensen alpha of 0.0923, we recommend you to check McDonalds's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself next year.
McDonalds Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as McDonalds, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to McDonaldsMcDonalds | Build AI portfolio with McDonalds Stock |
McDonalds Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 340.66 | Buy | 36 | Odds |
Most McDonalds analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand McDonalds stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of McDonalds, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to McDonalds conference calls.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could McDonalds diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of McDonalds. Expected growth trajectory for McDonalds significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every McDonalds data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.083 | Dividend Share 7.17 | Earnings Share 11.96 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 |
Understanding McDonalds requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects McDonalds's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what McDonalds' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push McDonalds' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that McDonalds' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether McDonalds represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, McDonalds' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
McDonalds 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to McDonalds' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of McDonalds.
| 11/19/2025 |
| 02/17/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in McDonalds on November 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding McDonalds or generate 0.0% return on investment in McDonalds over 90 days. McDonalds is related to or competes with Rent The, Jiuzi Holdings, Worksport, Alta Global, NFT, LightInTheBox Holding, and High Roller. McDonalds Corporation operates and franchises McDonalds restaurants in the United States and internationally More
McDonalds Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure McDonalds' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess McDonalds upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.8947 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0603 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.1 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.44) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.82 |
McDonalds Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for McDonalds' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as McDonalds' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use McDonalds historical prices to predict the future McDonalds' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0921 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0923 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0492 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0674 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4027 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of McDonalds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
McDonalds February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0921 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4127 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.7801 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7682 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.8947 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 882.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Variance | 1.0 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0603 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0923 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0492 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0674 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4027 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.1 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.44) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8006 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5901 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.87) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3248 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0442 |
McDonalds Backtested Returns
At this point, McDonalds is very steady. McDonalds has Sharpe Ratio of 0.14, which conveys that the firm had a 0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for McDonalds, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify McDonalds' risk adjusted performance of 0.0921, and Mean Deviation of 0.7801 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. McDonalds has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.26, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, McDonalds' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding McDonalds is expected to be smaller as well. McDonalds presently secures a risk of 1.03%. Please verify McDonalds coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to decide if McDonalds will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | 0.33 |
Below average predictability
McDonalds has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between McDonalds time series from 19th of November 2025 to 3rd of January 2026 and 3rd of January 2026 to 17th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of McDonalds price movement. The serial correlation of 0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current McDonalds price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.33 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.35 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 80.71 |
McDonalds technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
McDonalds Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of McDonalds volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About McDonalds Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of McDonalds on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of McDonalds based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on McDonalds price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding McDonalds. By analyzing McDonalds's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of McDonalds's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to McDonalds specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.021 | 0.0234 | 0.0145 | Price To Sales Ratio | 8.47 | 8.03 | 8.52 |
McDonalds February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of McDonalds help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for McDonalds from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze McDonalds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0921 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4127 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.7801 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7682 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.8947 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 882.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Variance | 1.0 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0603 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0923 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0492 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0674 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4027 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.1 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.44) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8006 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5901 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.87) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3248 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0442 |
McDonalds February 17, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as McDonalds stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 70,032 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.01 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 328.46 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 328.18 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.82) |
Complementary Tools for McDonalds Stock analysis
When running McDonalds' price analysis, check to measure McDonalds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy McDonalds is operating at the current time. Most of McDonalds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of McDonalds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move McDonalds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of McDonalds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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