Mcdonalds Stock Technical Analysis
| MCD Stock | USD 312.95 0.00 0.00% |
As of the 26th of January, McDonalds secures the risk adjusted performance of 0.0182, and Mean Deviation of 0.8462. Concerning fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check available technical drivers of McDonalds, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify McDonalds coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if McDonalds is priced favorably, providing market reflects its recent price of 312.95 per share. Given that McDonalds has jensen alpha of (0.02), we recommend you to check McDonalds's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself next year.
McDonalds Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as McDonalds, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to McDonaldsMcDonalds | Build AI portfolio with McDonalds Stock |
McDonalds Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 332.87 | Buy | 36 | Odds |
Most McDonalds analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand McDonalds stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of McDonalds, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to McDonalds conference calls.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of McDonalds. If investors know McDonalds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about McDonalds listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.016 | Dividend Share 7.08 | Earnings Share 11.72 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 |
The market value of McDonalds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of McDonalds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of McDonalds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is McDonalds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because McDonalds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect McDonalds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between McDonalds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if McDonalds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, McDonalds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
McDonalds 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to McDonalds' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of McDonalds.
| 10/28/2025 |
| 01/26/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in McDonalds on October 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding McDonalds or generate 0.0% return on investment in McDonalds over 90 days. McDonalds is related to or competes with Chipotle Mexican, Dutch Bros, Dominos Pizza, Yum Brands, Starbucks, Wingstop, and Shake Shack. McDonalds Corporation operates and franchises McDonalds restaurants in the United States and internationally More
McDonalds Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure McDonalds' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess McDonalds upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.49) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.16 |
McDonalds Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for McDonalds' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as McDonalds' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use McDonalds historical prices to predict the future McDonalds' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0182 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0293 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of McDonalds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
McDonalds January 26, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0182 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0393 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8462 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9767 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4890.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Variance | 1.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0293 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.49) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.954 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.92) | |||
| Skewness | 0.291 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.12) |
McDonalds Backtested Returns
At this point, McDonalds is very steady. McDonalds has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0281, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0281 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for McDonalds, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify McDonalds' risk adjusted performance of 0.0182, and Mean Deviation of 0.8462 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0303%. McDonalds has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.41, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, McDonalds' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding McDonalds is expected to be smaller as well. McDonalds presently secures a risk of 1.08%. Please verify McDonalds coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to decide if McDonalds will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | -0.36 |
Poor reverse predictability
McDonalds has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between McDonalds time series from 28th of October 2025 to 12th of December 2025 and 12th of December 2025 to 26th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of McDonalds price movement. The serial correlation of -0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current McDonalds price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.36 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.6 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 26.29 |
McDonalds technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
McDonalds Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of McDonalds volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About McDonalds Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of McDonalds on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of McDonalds based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on McDonalds price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding McDonalds. By analyzing McDonalds's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of McDonalds's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to McDonalds specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.021 | 0.0234 | 0.0144 | Price To Sales Ratio | 8.47 | 8.03 | 7.59 |
McDonalds January 26, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of McDonalds help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for McDonalds from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze McDonalds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0182 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0393 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8462 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9767 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4890.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Variance | 1.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0293 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.49) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.954 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.92) | |||
| Skewness | 0.291 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.12) |
McDonalds January 26, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as McDonalds stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 35,228 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 312.17 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 312.43 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.78 |
Complementary Tools for McDonalds Stock analysis
When running McDonalds' price analysis, check to measure McDonalds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy McDonalds is operating at the current time. Most of McDonalds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of McDonalds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move McDonalds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of McDonalds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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