Vail Resorts Stock Technical Analysis
| MTN Stock | USD 134.32 0.00 0.00% |
As of the 16th of February 2026, Vail Resorts has the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), variance of 5.05, and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,863). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Vail Resorts, as well as the relationship between them.
Vail Resorts Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Vail, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to VailVail Resorts' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Vail Resorts Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 174.18 | Buy | 12 | Odds |
Most Vail analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Vail stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Vail Resorts, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Vail conference calls.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could Vail diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vail Resorts. Expected growth trajectory for Vail significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Vail Resorts data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.105 | Dividend Share 8.88 | Earnings Share 6.94 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.041 |
The market value of Vail Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vail that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vail Resorts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vail Resorts' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Vail Resorts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vail Resorts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Vail Resorts' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Vail Resorts represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Vail Resorts' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Vail Resorts 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vail Resorts' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vail Resorts.
| 11/18/2025 |
| 02/16/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vail Resorts on November 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vail Resorts or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vail Resorts over 90 days. Vail Resorts is related to or competes with SGHC, Wyndham Hotels, Thor Industries, Boyd Gaming, Life Time, Churchill Downs, and Urban Outfitters. Vail Resorts, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates mountain resorts and regional ski areas in the United States More
Vail Resorts Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vail Resorts' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vail Resorts upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.29 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.81) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.85 |
Vail Resorts Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vail Resorts' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vail Resorts' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vail Resorts historical prices to predict the future Vail Resorts' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.26) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.09) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vail Resorts' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vail Resorts February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,863) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Variance | 5.05 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.26) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.29 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.81) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.85 | |||
| Skewness | 1.35 | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.03 |
Vail Resorts Backtested Returns
Vail Resorts owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0125, which indicates the firm had a -0.0125 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vail Resorts exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vail Resorts' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), coefficient of variation of (2,863), and Variance of 5.05 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 1.02, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Vail Resorts returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vail Resorts is expected to follow. At this point, Vail Resorts has a negative expected return of -0.0276%. Please make sure to validate Vail Resorts' standard deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Vail Resorts performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.57 |
Good reverse predictability
Vail Resorts has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vail Resorts time series from 18th of November 2025 to 2nd of January 2026 and 2nd of January 2026 to 16th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vail Resorts price movement. The serial correlation of -0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Vail Resorts price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.57 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.14 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 14.02 |
Vail Resorts technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Vail Resorts Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Vail Resorts volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Vail Resorts Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Vail Resorts on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vail Resorts based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Vail Resorts price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Vail Resorts. By analyzing Vail Resorts's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Vail Resorts's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Vail Resorts specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.047 | 0.0588 | 0.0529 | 0.0555 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.39 | 1.88 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
Vail Resorts February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Vail help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vail from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Vail charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,863) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Variance | 5.05 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.26) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.29 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.81) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.85 | |||
| Skewness | 1.35 | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.03 |
Vail Resorts February 16, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vail stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.03 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 136.01 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 135.45 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.69) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 4.02 |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vail Resorts. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. To learn how to invest in Vail Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vail Resorts guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could Vail diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vail Resorts. Expected growth trajectory for Vail significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Vail Resorts data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.105 | Dividend Share 8.88 | Earnings Share 6.94 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.041 |
The market value of Vail Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vail that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vail Resorts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vail Resorts' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Vail Resorts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vail Resorts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Vail Resorts' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Vail Resorts represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Vail Resorts' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.