Origin Agritech Stock Technical Analysis
| SEED Stock | USD 1.30 0.06 4.84% |
As of the 31st of January, Origin Agritech holds the Variance of 23.55, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,202). Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Origin Agritech, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Origin Agritech variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and skewness to decide if Origin Agritech is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 1.3 per share. Given that Origin Agritech is a hitting penny stock territory we advise to closely look at its jensen alpha.
Origin Agritech Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Origin, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to OriginOrigin Agritech's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Will Agricultural Products & Services sector continue expanding? Could Origin diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Agritech. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Origin Agritech data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Earnings Share (0.08) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.21) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Origin Agritech using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Origin Agritech's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Origin Agritech's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Agritech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Agritech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Origin Agritech's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Origin Agritech 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Origin Agritech's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Origin Agritech.
| 11/02/2025 |
| 01/31/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Origin Agritech on November 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Origin Agritech or generate 0.0% return on investment in Origin Agritech over 90 days. Origin Agritech is related to or competes with Jewett Cameron, ZK International, Arcadia Biosciences, Foremost Lithium, Inno Holdings, N2OFF, and Gulf Resources. Origin Agritech Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates an agricultural biotechnology and an e-commerce platfo... More
Origin Agritech Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Origin Agritech's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Origin Agritech upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.41) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.23 |
Origin Agritech Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Origin Agritech's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Origin Agritech's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Origin Agritech historical prices to predict the future Origin Agritech's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.46) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.76) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.51) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Origin Agritech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Origin Agritech January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.50) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.54 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,202) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.85 | |||
| Variance | 23.55 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.46) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.76) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.51) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.41) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.23 | |||
| Skewness | 0.5132 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.7093 |
Origin Agritech Backtested Returns
Origin Agritech maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0604, which implies the firm had a -0.0604 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Origin Agritech exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Origin Agritech's Variance of 23.55, coefficient of variation of (1,202), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.82, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Origin Agritech's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Origin Agritech is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Origin Agritech has a negative expected return of -0.28%. Please make sure to check Origin Agritech's maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Origin Agritech performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.53 |
Modest predictability
Origin Agritech has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Origin Agritech time series from 2nd of November 2025 to 17th of December 2025 and 17th of December 2025 to 31st of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Origin Agritech price movement. The serial correlation of 0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Origin Agritech price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.53 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Origin Agritech technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Origin Agritech Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Origin Agritech volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Origin Agritech Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Origin Agritech on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Origin Agritech based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Origin Agritech price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Origin Agritech. By analyzing Origin Agritech's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Origin Agritech's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Origin Agritech specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00145 | 0.001378 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.58 | 2.32 |
Origin Agritech January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Origin help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Origin from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Origin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.50) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.54 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,202) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.85 | |||
| Variance | 23.55 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.46) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.76) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.51) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.41) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.23 | |||
| Skewness | 0.5132 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.7093 |
Origin Agritech January 31, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Origin stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.05 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | ||
| Day Median Price | 1.27 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 1.28 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.06 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.06 |
Complementary Tools for Origin Stock analysis
When running Origin Agritech's price analysis, check to measure Origin Agritech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Agritech is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Agritech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Agritech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Agritech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Agritech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital |