Origin Agritech Stock Technical Analysis
| SEED Stock | USD 1.08 0.07 6.09% |
As of the 25th of February, Origin Agritech holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0139, semi deviation of 4.33, and Coefficient Of Variation of 13881.16. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Origin Agritech, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Origin Agritech downside variance, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and information ratio to decide if Origin Agritech is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 1.08 per share. Given that Origin Agritech is a hitting penny stock territory we advise to closely look at its total risk alpha.
Origin Agritech Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Origin, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to OriginOrigin Agritech's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Will Agricultural Products & Services sector continue expanding? Could Origin diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Agritech. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Origin Agritech data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Earnings Share (1.03) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Origin Agritech using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Origin Agritech's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Origin Agritech's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Agritech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Agritech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Origin Agritech's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Origin Agritech 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Origin Agritech's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Origin Agritech.
| 11/27/2025 |
| 02/25/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Origin Agritech on November 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Origin Agritech or generate 0.0% return on investment in Origin Agritech over 90 days. Origin Agritech is related to or competes with Jewett Cameron, ZK International, Arcadia Biosciences, Foremost Lithium, Inno Holdings, N2OFF, and Gulf Resources. Origin Agritech Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates an agricultural biotechnology and an e-commerce platfo... More
Origin Agritech Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Origin Agritech's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Origin Agritech upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.75 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 21.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.69) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.97 |
Origin Agritech Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Origin Agritech's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Origin Agritech's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Origin Agritech historical prices to predict the future Origin Agritech's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0139 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.54) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.042 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Origin Agritech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Origin Agritech February 25, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0139 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.052 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.33 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.75 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 13881.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.77 | |||
| Variance | 22.72 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.54) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.042 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 21.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.69) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.97 | |||
| Downside Variance | 22.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.75 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.11) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2306 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0567 |
Origin Agritech Backtested Returns
Origin Agritech maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0473, which implies the firm had a -0.0473 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Origin Agritech exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Origin Agritech's Coefficient Of Variation of 13881.16, risk adjusted performance of 0.0139, and Semi Deviation of 4.33 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.58, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Origin Agritech's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Origin Agritech is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Origin Agritech has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to check Origin Agritech's downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Origin Agritech performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.80 |
Very good predictability
Origin Agritech has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Origin Agritech time series from 27th of November 2025 to 11th of January 2026 and 11th of January 2026 to 25th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Origin Agritech price movement. The serial correlation of 0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current Origin Agritech price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.8 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.64 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Origin Agritech technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Origin Agritech Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fourteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Origin Agritech across different markets.
About Origin Agritech Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Origin Agritech on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Origin Agritech based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Origin Agritech price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Origin Agritech. By analyzing Origin Agritech's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Origin Agritech's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Origin Agritech specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2022 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001261 | 0.00145 | 0.001378 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.7 | 3.98 | 2.23 |
Origin Agritech February 25, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Origin help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Origin from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Origin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0139 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.052 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.33 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.75 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 13881.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.77 | |||
| Variance | 22.72 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.54) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.042 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 21.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.69) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.97 | |||
| Downside Variance | 22.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.75 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.11) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2306 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0567 |
Origin Agritech February 25, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Origin stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | ||
| Day Median Price | 1.08 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 1.08 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) |
Complementary Tools for Origin Stock analysis
When running Origin Agritech's price analysis, check to measure Origin Agritech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Agritech is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Agritech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Agritech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Agritech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Agritech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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