Origin Agritech Valuation

SEED Stock  USD 1.10  0.11  9.09%   
Today, the company appears to be overvalued. Origin Agritech holds a recent Real Value of $1.1 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $1.1. Our model determines the value of Origin Agritech from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -3.72, operating margin of (1.54) %, and Shares Outstanding of 11.92 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Origin Agritech's valuation include:
Price Book
4.864
Enterprise Value
15.8 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
1.6023
Price Sales
0.1594
Enterprise Value Revenue
1.2569
Overvalued
Today
1.10
Please note that Origin Agritech's price fluctuation is extremely dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of Origin Agritech is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Origin Agritech's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Origin stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Origin Agritech. Since Origin Agritech is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Origin Stock. However, Origin Agritech's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  1.1 Real  1.1 Hype  1.21 Naive  1.02
The real value of Origin Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Origin Agritech Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Origin Agritech's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Origin Agritech's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
1.10
Real Value
5.80
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Origin Agritech helps investors to forecast how Origin stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Origin Agritech more accurately as focusing exclusively on Origin Agritech's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.031.291.54
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.215.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.021.025.72
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Origin Agritech's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Origin Agritech's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Origin Agritech's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Origin Agritech we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Origin Agritech Cash

13.6 Million

About Origin Agritech Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Origin Agritech's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Origin Agritech. We calculate exposure to Origin Agritech's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Origin Agritech's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit5.7 M5.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.31  0.33 
Operating Profit Margin 0.32  0.33 
Net Profit Margin 0.27  0.28 
Gross Profit Margin 0.53  0.29 

Origin Agritech Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Origin Agritech does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.642

Origin Agritech Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Origin Agritech and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Origin we look at many different elements of the entity such as Origin's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Origin Agritech, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Origin Agritech's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Origin Agritech's worth.

Complementary Tools for Origin Stock analysis

When running Origin Agritech's price analysis, check to measure Origin Agritech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Agritech is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Agritech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Agritech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Agritech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Agritech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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