Origin Agritech Stock Analysis

SEED Stock  USD 2.46  0.05  2.07%   
Origin Agritech is overvalued with Real Value of 2.22 and Hype Value of 2.5. The main objective of Origin Agritech stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Origin Agritech is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Origin Agritech's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Origin Agritech stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Origin Agritech's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Agritech. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
For information on how to trade Origin Stock refer to our How to Trade Origin Stock guide.

Origin Stock Analysis Notes

About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 10th of July 2018. Origin Agritech had 1:10 split on the 10th of July 2018. Origin Agritech Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates an agricultural biotechnology and an e-commerce platform in the Peoples Republic of China. Origin Agritech Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. Origin Agritech operates under Agricultural Inputs classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 54 people. To find out more about Origin Agritech contact Gengchen Han at 86 10 5890 7588 or learn more at https://originagritech.com.

Origin Agritech Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Origin Agritech's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Origin Agritech or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Origin Agritech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Origin Agritech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Origin Agritech has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Origin Agritech currently holds 241 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 180.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Origin Agritech has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Origin Agritech's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Origin Agritech currently holds about 6.51 M in cash with (5.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.13.
Origin Agritech has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 13.0% of Origin Agritech outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from eu-startups.com: Berlin-based Extantia Capital closes 204 million flagship fund

Origin Agritech Upcoming and Recent Events

13th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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30th of September 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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Origin Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Origin Agritech's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2010-02-02
2009-12-31-0.8-0.9-0.112 
2011-02-22
2010-12-31-1.2-1.4-0.216 
2010-05-11
2010-03-31-2.15-1.80.3516 
View All Earnings Estimates

Origin Agritech Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Origin Agritech's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Origin Agritech's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Origin Agritech's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Origin Agritech's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Origin Agritech Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Origin Agritech stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Agriculture Idea
Agriculture
USA Equities from Agriculture industry as classified by Fama & French

Origin Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Legacy Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
41.5 K
First Wilshire Securities Mgmt Inc (ca)2024-09-30
19.5 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
14.7 K
Oppenheimer & Co Inc2024-09-30
14 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
12.2 K
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-06-30
250
Group One Trading, Lp2024-06-30
100.0
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
55.0
Federation Des Caisses Desjardins Du Quebec2024-06-30
0.0
Steward Partners Investment Advisory, Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Note, although Origin Agritech's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Origin Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 15.55 M.

Origin Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.48 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.05 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.05.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Capital Employed(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Assets(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Equity(0.04)(0.04)

Management Efficiency

Origin Agritech has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0297) % which means that it has lost $0.0297 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (3.7199) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Origin Agritech's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Origin Agritech manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of November 22, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.04. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.04. At present, Origin Agritech's Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.48, whereas Total Current Assets are forecasted to decline to about 121.2 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 126.59  93.37 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 106.75  72.41 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(170.60)(179.13)
Price Book Value Ratio 8.16  7.75 
Enterprise Value Multiple(170.60)(179.13)
Price Fair Value 8.16  7.75 
Enterprise Value1.2 B655.6 M
Origin Agritech benefits from a proactive management team that anticipates market trends. Our analysis delves into how this proactive stance influences financial metrics and stock valuation.
Operating Margin
0.0463
Profit Margin
0.4843
Beta
1.498
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Return On Equity
(3.72)

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of November, Origin Agritech holds the Coefficient Of Variation of 2190.84, risk adjusted performance of 0.043, and Semi Deviation of 3.68. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Origin Agritech, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Origin Agritech maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if Origin Agritech is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 2.46 per share. Please also confirm Origin Agritech total risk alpha, which is currently at (0.38) to check out the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Origin Agritech Price Movement Analysis

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The output start index for this execution was twenty-nine with a total number of output elements of thirty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Origin Agritech middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Origin Agritech. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Origin Agritech Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Origin Agritech insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Origin Agritech's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Origin Agritech insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Origin Agritech Outstanding Bonds

Origin Agritech issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Origin Agritech uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Origin bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Origin Agritech has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Origin Agritech Predictive Daily Indicators

Origin Agritech intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Origin Agritech stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Origin Agritech Corporate Filings

6K
3rd of September 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
27th of August 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
3rd of June 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
14th of May 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
7th of May 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
14th of March 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
15th of February 2024
Other Reports
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31st of January 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Origin Agritech Forecast Models

Origin Agritech's time-series forecasting models are one of many Origin Agritech's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Origin Agritech's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Origin Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Origin Agritech prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Origin shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Origin Agritech. By using and applying Origin Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Origin entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.31  0.33 
Operating Profit Margin 0.32  0.33 
Net Profit Margin 0.27  0.28 
Gross Profit Margin 0.53  0.30 

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As an investor, your ultimate goal is to build wealth. Optimizing your investment portfolio is an essential element in this goal. Using our stock analysis tools, you can find out how much better you can do when adding Origin Agritech to your portfolios without increasing risk or reducing expected return.

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When running Origin Agritech's price analysis, check to measure Origin Agritech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Agritech is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Agritech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Agritech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Agritech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Agritech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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