MediaAlpha Valuation

MAX Stock  USD 10.23  0.01  0.1%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. MediaAlpha secures a last-minute Real Value of $11.87 per share. The latest price of the firm is $10.23. Our model forecasts the value of MediaAlpha from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.07 %, return on asset of 0.21, and Shares Outstanding of 46.23 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting MediaAlpha's valuation include:
Price Book
73.0547
Enterprise Value
699.2 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
40.0195
Price Sales
0.5977
Forward PE
8.3264
Undervalued
Today
10.23
Please note that MediaAlpha's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of MediaAlpha is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing MediaAlpha's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since MediaAlpha is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of MediaAlpha Stock. However, MediaAlpha's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.23 Real  11.87 Target  15.93 Hype  10.18 Naive  10.04
The intrinsic value of MediaAlpha's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence MediaAlpha's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
11.87
Real Value
14.24
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of MediaAlpha helps investors to forecast how MediaAlpha stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of MediaAlpha more accurately as focusing exclusively on MediaAlpha's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.220.340.42
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.8110.1812.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.6710.0412.41
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
14.5015.9317.68
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use MediaAlpha's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of MediaAlpha's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against MediaAlpha's closest peers.

MediaAlpha Cash

25.91 Million

MediaAlpha Revenue by Product

MediaAlpha Total Value Analysis

MediaAlpha is now forecasted to have company total value of 699.18 M with market capitalization of 671.24 M, debt of 162.44 M, and cash on hands of 43.27 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the MediaAlpha fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
699.18 M
671.24 M
162.44 M
43.27 M

MediaAlpha Investor Information

About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. MediaAlpha had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key measurements obtained from MediaAlpha's financial statements, MediaAlpha is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities34.4 M52.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

MediaAlpha Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. MediaAlpha has an asset utilization ratio of 329.48 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $3.29 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that MediaAlpha is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

MediaAlpha Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from MediaAlpha's financial statements, MediaAlpha is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess MediaAlpha's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2017-12-31
Previous Quarter
-18.7 M
Current Value
14.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
9.7 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, MediaAlpha's Pretax Profit Margin is fairly stable compared to the past year. Operating Profit Margin is likely to rise to 0.06 in 2026, whereas Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 91.4 M in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.130.15
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
For MediaAlpha profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of MediaAlpha to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well MediaAlpha utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between MediaAlpha's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of MediaAlpha over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

MediaAlpha Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of MediaAlpha is estimated to be 0.339125 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.2175 to a high of 0.424875. MediaAlpha's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -0.02. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for MediaAlpha is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
MediaAlpha is projected to generate 0.339125 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. MediaAlpha earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected MediaAlpha EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on MediaAlpha's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as MediaAlpha, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

MediaAlpha Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of MediaAlpha's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of MediaAlpha is estimated to be 0.339125 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.2175 to a high of 0.424875. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for MediaAlpha is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.22
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.339125
0.42
Highest

MediaAlpha Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of MediaAlpha's value are higher than the current market price of the MediaAlpha stock. In this case, investors may conclude that MediaAlpha is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and MediaAlpha's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
850.0%
0.0
0.339125
-0.02

MediaAlpha Ownership Allocation

MediaAlpha maintains a total of 46.23 Million outstanding shares. Over half of MediaAlpha's outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These institutional investors are typically referred to as corporate investors that shop for positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

MediaAlpha Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 864.7 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 22.12 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 171.71 M.

About MediaAlpha Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of MediaAlpha. We calculate exposure to MediaAlpha's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of MediaAlpha's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit165.1 M91.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 
Operating Profit Margin 0.06  0.06 
Net Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 
Gross Profit Margin 0.15  0.13 

MediaAlpha Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.529
Forward Price Earnings8.3264

MediaAlpha Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of MediaAlpha and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value MediaAlpha we look at many different elements of the entity such as MediaAlpha's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as MediaAlpha, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use MediaAlpha's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes MediaAlpha's worth.

Additional Tools for MediaAlpha Stock Analysis

When running MediaAlpha's price analysis, check to measure MediaAlpha's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MediaAlpha is operating at the current time. Most of MediaAlpha's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MediaAlpha's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MediaAlpha's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MediaAlpha to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.