Open Lending Corp Stock Volatility
LPRO Stock | USD 6.48 0.01 0.15% |
Open Lending appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Open Lending Corp maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0955, which implies the firm had a 0.0955% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Open Lending Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Open Lending's Coefficient Of Variation of 1246.69, semi deviation of 2.9, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0689 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Open Lending's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Open Lending Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Open daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Open's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Open Lending volatility.
Open |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Open Lending's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Open Lending's managers and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Open Lending can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Open Lending at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Open stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Open Lending's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Open Stock
0.76 | DHIL | Diamond Hill Investment | PairCorr |
0.63 | DIST | Distoken Acquisition | PairCorr |
0.67 | BN | Brookfield Corp | PairCorr |
Moving against Open Stock
Open Lending Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Open Lending's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Open stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Open stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Open Lending's beta of 1.5 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Open Lending stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Open Lending Corp shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Open Lending's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Open Lending's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Open Lending Corp Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Open Lending correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Open Beta |
Open standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 3.16 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Open Lending's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Open Lending's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in open stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Open Lending.
Open Lending Corp Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Open Lending stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Open Lending's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Open Lending's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Open Lending's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Open Lending's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Open Lending's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Open Lending's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Open Lending's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Open Lending Corp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Open Lending Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.5044 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Open Lending will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Open Lending or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Open Lending's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Open stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Open Lending Corp has an alpha of 0.0632, implying that it can generate a 0.0632 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives an Open Lending Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Open Lending Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Open Lending is 1047.36. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 9.99 and standard deviation of 3.16. The mean deviation of Open Lending Corp is currently at 2.3. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Open Lending Stock Return Volatility
Open Lending historical daily return volatility represents how much of Open Lending stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 3.161% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7796% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About Open Lending Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Open Lending or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Open Lending may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Open's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Open Lending and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Open Lending fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Selling And Marketing Expenses | 17.5 M | 12.6 M | |
Market Cap | 1 B | 1.2 B |
Open Lending's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Open Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Open Lending's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Open Lending's volatility to invest better
Higher Open Lending's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Open Lending Corp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Open Lending Corp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Open Lending Corp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Open Lending's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Open Lending's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Open Lending Investment Opportunity
Open Lending Corp has a volatility of 3.16 and is 4.05 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 28 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Open Lending. You can use Open Lending Corp to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Open Lending to be traded at $6.8 in 90 days.Weak diversification
The correlation between Open Lending Corp and DJI is 0.37 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Open Lending Corp and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Open Lending Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Open Lending's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Open Lending's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Open Lending stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0689 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1706 | |||
Mean Deviation | 2.31 | |||
Semi Deviation | 2.9 | |||
Downside Deviation | 3.13 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 1246.69 | |||
Standard Deviation | 3.14 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Open Lending Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Open Lending as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Open Lending's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Open Lending's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Open Lending Corp.
When determining whether Open Lending Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Open Lending's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Open Lending Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Open Lending Corp Stock: Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Open Lending Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Diversified Capital Markets space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Open Lending. If investors know Open will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Open Lending listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | Earnings Share 0.04 | Revenue Per Share 0.805 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) | Return On Assets 0.0079 |
The market value of Open Lending Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Open that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Open Lending's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Open Lending's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Open Lending's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Open Lending's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Open Lending's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Open Lending is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Open Lending's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.