Valero Energy Earnings Estimate

VLO Stock  USD 201.38  1.30  0.64%   
The next projected EPS of Valero Energy is estimated to be 1.63 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.884 to a high of 2.707. Valero Energy's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 7.56. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Valero Energy is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Valero Energy is projected to generate 1.63 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Valero Energy earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Valero Energy EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Valero Energy's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Valero Energy, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Valero Energy Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Valero Energy's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Valero Energy's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. At this time, Valero Energy's Pretax Profit Margin is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 10th of February 2026, Operating Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.05, while Gross Profit is likely to drop about 4 B. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Valero Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
To learn how to invest in Valero Stock, please use our How to Invest in Valero Energy guide.

Valero Energy Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Valero Energy's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Valero Energy is estimated to be 1.63 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.884 to a high of 2.707. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Valero Energy is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
3.82
0.88
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.63
2.71
Highest

Valero Energy Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Valero Energy's value are higher than the current market price of the Valero Energy stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Valero Energy is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Valero Energy's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1980.09%
3.82
1.63
7.56

Valero Energy Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Valero Energy refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Valero Energy predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Valero Energy, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Valero Energy Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Valero Energy, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Valero Energy should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Valero Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Valero Energy's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2026-01-29
2025-12-313.273.820.5516 
2025-10-23
2025-09-303.053.660.6120 
2025-07-24
2025-06-301.772.280.5128 
2025-04-24
2025-03-310.480.890.4185 
2025-01-30
2024-12-310.050.880.831660 
2024-10-24
2024-09-300.981.140.1616 
2024-07-25
2024-06-302.62.710.11
2024-04-25
2024-03-313.223.820.618 
2024-01-25
2023-12-3133.550.5518 
2023-10-26
2023-09-307.327.490.17
2023-07-27
2023-06-305.085.40.32
2023-04-27
2023-03-317.218.271.0614 
2023-01-26
2022-12-317.248.451.2116 
2022-10-25
2022-09-306.947.140.2
2022-07-28
2022-06-309.3811.361.9821 
2022-04-26
2022-03-311.652.310.6640 
2022-01-27
2021-12-311.842.470.6334 
2021-10-21
2021-09-300.921.220.332 
2021-07-29
2021-06-300.130.480.35269 
2021-04-22
2021-03-31-1.85-1.730.12
2021-01-28
2020-12-31-1.39-1.060.3323 
2020-10-22
2020-09-30-1.33-1.160.1712 
2020-07-30
2020-06-30-1.4-1.250.1510 
2020-04-29
2020-03-31-0.150.340.49326 
2020-01-30
2019-12-311.632.130.530 
2019-10-24
2019-09-301.351.480.13
2019-07-25
2019-06-301.511.510.0
2019-04-25
2019-03-310.230.340.1147 
2019-01-31
2018-12-311.112.121.0190 
2018-10-25
2018-09-301.952.010.06
2018-07-26
2018-06-301.982.150.17
2018-04-26
2018-03-310.931.00.07
2018-02-01
2017-12-311.081.160.08
2017-10-26
2017-09-301.831.910.08
2017-07-27
2017-06-301.11.230.1311 
2017-04-25
2017-03-310.60.680.0813 
2017-01-31
2016-12-310.770.810.04
2016-10-25
2016-09-300.931.240.3133 
2016-07-26
2016-06-300.991.070.08
2016-05-03
2016-03-310.650.6-0.05
2016-01-28
2015-12-311.471.790.3221 
2015-10-28
2015-09-302.662.790.13
2015-07-30
2015-06-302.412.660.2510 
2015-04-28
2015-03-311.671.870.211 
2015-01-29
2014-12-311.321.830.5138 
2014-11-04
2014-09-301.552.00.4529 
2014-07-30
2014-06-301.21.220.02
2014-04-29
2014-03-311.41.540.1410 
2014-01-29
2013-12-311.471.780.3121 
2013-10-29
2013-09-300.410.570.1639 
2013-07-23
2013-06-300.940.960.02
2013-04-30
2013-03-3111.180.1818 
2013-01-29
2012-12-311.151.880.7363 
2012-10-30
2012-09-301.751.90.15
2012-07-31
2012-06-301.441.50.06
2012-05-01
2012-03-310.280.310.0310 
2012-01-31
2011-12-31-0.25-0.210.0416 
2011-11-01
2011-09-301.782.110.3318 
2011-07-26
2011-06-301.451.3-0.1510 
2011-04-26
2011-03-310.360.790.43119 
2011-01-26
2010-12-310.340.40.0617 
2010-10-26
2010-09-300.470.510.04
2010-07-27
2010-06-300.680.930.2536 
2010-04-27
2010-03-31-0.22-0.180.0418 
2010-01-27
2009-12-31-0.48-0.280.241 
2009-10-27
2009-09-30-0.34-0.39-0.0514 
2009-07-28
2009-06-30-0.5-0.480.02
2009-04-28
2009-03-310.490.590.120 
2009-01-27
2008-12-310.921.00.08
2008-10-28
2008-09-301.541.860.3220 
2008-07-29
2008-06-301.351.370.02
2008-04-29
2008-03-310.330.360.03
2008-01-29
2007-12-310.671.020.3552 
2007-11-06
2007-09-301.351.40.05
2007-07-31
2007-06-303.753.890.14
2007-04-26
2007-03-311.81.860.06
2007-02-01
2006-12-311.381.590.2115 
2006-10-31
2006-09-302.292.420.13
2006-08-01
2006-06-302.952.980.03
2006-04-25
2006-03-311.251.320.07
2006-01-31
2005-12-311.952.00.05
2005-10-31
2005-09-301.992.190.210 
2005-07-26
2005-06-301.51.530.03
2005-04-21
2005-03-310.970.96-0.01
2005-02-01
2004-12-310.720.950.2331 
2004-10-26
2004-09-300.740.790.05
2004-07-29
2004-06-301.11.140.04
2004-04-28
2004-03-310.440.460.02
2004-01-27
2003-12-310.250.260.01
2003-10-30
2003-09-300.370.380.01
2003-07-29
2003-06-300.270.270.0
2003-04-22
2003-03-310.330.380.0515 
2003-01-28
2002-12-310.190.20.01
2002-10-30
2002-09-300.060.070.0116 
2002-07-30
2002-06-300.030.030.0
2002-04-30
2002-03-31-0.02-0.09-0.07350 
2002-01-29
2001-12-310.150.210.0640 
2001-10-23
2001-09-300.310.40.0929 
2001-07-24
2001-06-301.051.060.01
2001-04-17
2001-03-310.380.530.1539 
2001-01-17
2000-12-310.320.370.0515 
2000-10-17
2000-09-300.40.50.125 
2000-07-20
2000-06-300.340.380.0411 
2000-04-20
2000-03-310.120.140.0216 
2000-01-25
1999-12-310.030.070.04133 
1999-10-19
1999-09-300.10.10.0
1999-07-26
1999-06-30-0.08-0.1-0.0225 
1999-04-26
1999-03-31-0.08-0.010.0787 
1999-02-02
1998-12-310.010.010.0
1998-10-20
1998-09-300.040.02-0.0250 
1998-07-21
1998-06-300.170.180.01
1998-04-27
1998-03-310.080.080.0
1998-01-22
1997-12-310.070.06-0.0114 
1997-10-21
1997-09-300.230.230.0
1997-07-17
1997-06-300.120.140.0216 
1997-04-17
1997-03-310.080.07-0.0112 
1997-01-21
1996-12-310.080.090.0112 
1996-10-24
1996-09-300.070.06-0.0114 
1996-07-18
1996-06-300.10.10.0
1996-04-17
1996-03-310.050.10.05100 

About Valero Energy Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Valero Energy earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Valero Energy estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Valero Energy fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings54.1 B56.8 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity44 B26.6 B
Earnings Yield 0.05  0.06 
Price Earnings Ratio 21.42  22.49 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio(1.82)(1.73)

Pair Trading with Valero Energy

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Valero Energy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Valero Energy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Valero Stock

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Moving against Valero Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Valero Energy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Valero Energy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Valero Energy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Valero Energy to buy it.
The correlation of Valero Energy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Valero Energy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Valero Energy moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Valero Energy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Valero Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Valero Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Valero Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Valero Energy Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Valero Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
To learn how to invest in Valero Stock, please use our How to Invest in Valero Energy guide.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Valero diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valero Energy. If investors know Valero will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Valero Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.196
Dividend Share
4.52
Earnings Share
7.56
Revenue Per Share
397.045
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.039
The market value of Valero Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valero that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valero Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valero Energy's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Valero Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valero Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valero Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valero Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Valero Energy's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.