Valero Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VLO Stock | USD 141.05 1.68 1.21% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Valero Energy is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Valero Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Valero Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Valero Stock, please use our How to Invest in Valero Energy guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Valero and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Valero Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Valero |
Execute Valero Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The Valero recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Valero Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Valero Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Valero Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Valero Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 20th of December 2024 Valero Energy paid $ 1.07 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from cnbc.com: Trump trade is back on as these banks, energy stocks jump ahead of the inauguration |
Valero Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Valero Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Valero Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Valero Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Valero Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Valero Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Valero Energy.
| Mean Return | 0.02 | Value At Risk | -2.71 | Potential Upside | 2.75 | Standard Deviation | 1.73 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Valero Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Valero Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Valero Energy, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Valero Energy back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 4.5 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 4.5 M | Barclays Plc | 2024-09-30 | 4.4 M | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-09-30 | 4.3 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-09-30 | 3.7 M | Pacer Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 3.6 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-09-30 | 3.4 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 3.3 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-09-30 | 2.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 29.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 24.6 M |
Valero Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 730M | 809M | 740M | 562M | 646.3M | 678.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (770M) | (1.2B) | (1.0B) | 8.3B | 9.6B | 10.0B | |
| Depreciation | 2.4B | 2.4B | 2.5B | 2.7B | 3.1B | 3.3B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 675M | 762M | (13.5B) | (11M) | (9.9M) | (9.4M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.5B | 1.7B | 1.8B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.8B | 1.7B | 1.7B | 911M | 1.0B | 1.4B | |
| Net Income | (1.1B) | 1.3B | 11.9B | 9.1B | 10.5B | 11.0B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 3.3B | 4.1B | 4.9B | 5.4B | 6.2B | 6.5B | |
| Change To Inventory | 1.0B | (253M) | (672M) | (684M) | (615.6M) | (584.8M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 234M | 139M | 5M | 97M | 87.3M | 121.4M | |
| Net Borrowings | 320M | 4.1B | (1.4B) | (2.9B) | (2.6B) | (2.5B) | |
| Investments | (54M) | 261M | 31M | (2.1B) | (1.9B) | (1.8B) |
Valero Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Valero Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Valero Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Valero stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0028 |
Valero Energy Volatility Alert
Valero Energy has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.18 and kurtosis of 1.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Valero Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Valero Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Valero Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Valero Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Valero Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Valero Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Valero Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Valero Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valero Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Valero Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Valero Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0511 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 49.74 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 316.58 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.53 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 85.17 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 15.23 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 6.38 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.75 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.35 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 144.77 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 7.52 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 14.66 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 9.15 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.86 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 13.69 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 12.64 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.57 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.25 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 79.77 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 9.23 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.19 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 11.37 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.21 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 147.07 | |
| Number Of Employees | 9.89 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.37 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 44.65 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 63.06 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 45.63 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 9.42 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 428 shares by Rayford Wilkins of Valero Energy at 158.125 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Valero Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Valero . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Valero Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Valero Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Valero Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Valero Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Machinery
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Machinery theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Machinery Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Valero Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Valero Stock, please use our How to Invest in Valero Energy guide.You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valero Energy. If investors know Valero will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Valero Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | Dividend Share 4.23 | Earnings Share 11.37 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of Valero Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valero that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valero Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valero Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Valero Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valero Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valero Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valero Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Valero Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.