Affinity Bancshares Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| AFBI Stock | USD 20.35 0.08 0.39% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Affinity Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 21.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.26. Affinity Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Affinity Bancshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026, The value of RSI of Affinity Bancshares' share price is at 51. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Affinity Bancshares, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Affinity Bancshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Affinity Bancshares from the perspective of Affinity Bancshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Affinity Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 21.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.26. Affinity Bancshares after-hype prediction price | USD 20.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Affinity Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Affinity Stock please use our How to Invest in Affinity Bancshares guide.Affinity Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Affinity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Affinity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Affinity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Affinity Bancshares Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Affinity Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 21.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.26.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Affinity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Affinity Bancshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Affinity Bancshares Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Affinity Bancshares | Affinity Bancshares Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Affinity Bancshares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Affinity Bancshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Affinity Bancshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.22 and 22.84, respectively. We have considered Affinity Bancshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Affinity Bancshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Affinity Bancshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7613 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4236 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.021 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.262 |
Predictive Modules for Affinity Bancshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Affinity Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Affinity Bancshares After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Affinity Bancshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Affinity Bancshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Affinity Bancshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Affinity Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Affinity Bancshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Affinity Bancshares' historical news coverage. Affinity Bancshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.54 and 22.16, respectively. We have considered Affinity Bancshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Affinity Bancshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Affinity Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Affinity Bancshares Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Affinity Bancshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Affinity Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Affinity Bancshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.81 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 6 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.35 | 20.35 | 0.00 |
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Affinity Bancshares Hype Timeline
Affinity Bancshares is presently traded for 20.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Affinity is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Affinity Bancshares is about 1448.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.37. About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.0. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Affinity Bancshares last dividend was issued on the 13th of March 2025. The entity had 453:500 split on the 21st of January 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Affinity Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Affinity Stock please use our How to Invest in Affinity Bancshares guide.Affinity Bancshares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Affinity Bancshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Affinity Bancshares' future price movements. Getting to know how Affinity Bancshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Affinity Bancshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SFBC | Sound Financial Bancorp | 0.13 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.09 | (1.15) | 6.34 | |
| SBFG | SB Financial Group | 0.28 | 3 per month | 2.16 | 0.09 | 4.58 | (3.73) | 10.28 | |
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | 0.14 | 2.05 | (1.48) | 5.78 | |
| SRBK | SR Bancorp Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | 0.1 | 2.51 | (1.26) | 8.56 | |
| PNBK | Patriot National Bancorp | 0.28 | 12 per month | 4.49 | 0.06 | 6.98 | (8.24) | 17.77 | |
| MGYR | Magyar Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | 0.01 | 2.07 | (2.45) | 6.78 | |
| RMBI | Richmond Mutual Bancorporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | 0.01 | 3.33 | (2.55) | 7.33 | |
| RBKB | Rhinebeck Bancorp | 0.28 | 17 per month | 1.02 | 0.14 | 3.65 | (2.17) | 8.81 | |
| RVSB | Riverview Bancorp | 0.28 | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.33 | (2.50) | 9.27 | |
| PROV | Provident Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | (0.04) | 1.34 | (1.04) | 4.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for Affinity Bancshares
For every potential investor in Affinity, whether a beginner or expert, Affinity Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Affinity Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Affinity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Affinity Bancshares' price trends.Affinity Bancshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Affinity Bancshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Affinity Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Affinity Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Affinity Bancshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Affinity Bancshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Affinity Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Affinity Bancshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Affinity Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Affinity Bancshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of Affinity Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Affinity Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting affinity stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Variance | 3.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.75 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.47) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Affinity Bancshares
The number of cover stories for Affinity Bancshares depends on current market conditions and Affinity Bancshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Affinity Bancshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Affinity Bancshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Affinity Bancshares Short Properties
Affinity Bancshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when Affinity Bancshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Affinity Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Affinity Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Affinity Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 41.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Affinity Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Affinity Stock please use our How to Invest in Affinity Bancshares guide.You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Affinity Bancshares. If investors know Affinity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Affinity Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Affinity Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Affinity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Affinity Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Affinity Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Affinity Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Affinity Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Affinity Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Affinity Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Affinity Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.