American Financial Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| AFG Stock | USD 129.00 0.19 0.15% |
American Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of American Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the relative strength indicator of American Financial's share price is approaching 45. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling American Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
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Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.195 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.244 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.9667 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.35 | Wall Street Target Price 143.8333 |
Using American Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Financial Group from the perspective of American Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American Financial using American Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American Financial's stock price.
American Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in American Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards American. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of American Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 131.9489 | Short Percent 0.0198 | Short Ratio 3.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 134.6692 |
American Relative Strength Index
American Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to American Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Financial Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of American Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about American Financial.
American Financial Implied Volatility | 0.2 |
American Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Financial Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Financial's options are near their expiration.
American Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 128.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current American contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that American Financial Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0125% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With American Financial trading at USD 129.0, that is roughly USD 0.0161 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating American Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring American Financial Group options at the current volatility level of 0.2%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 American Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast American Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in American Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for American Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current American Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to American Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of American Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in American. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
American Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 9503.52 | 0.0015 |
| Check American Financial Volatility | Backtest American Financial | Information Ratio |
American Financial Trading Date Momentum
| On January 30 2026 American Financial Group was traded for 129.00 at the closing time. Highest American Financial's price during the trading hours was 129.00 and the lowest price during the day was 128.81 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 30th of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.15% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare American Financial to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for American Financial
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Financial's price trends.American Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
American Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.854 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Variance | 1.39 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for American Financial
The number of cover stories for American Financial depends on current market conditions and American Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American Financial Short Properties
American Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Financial Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Can Multi-line Insurance industry sustain growth momentum? Does American have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Financial. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating American Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.195 | Dividend Share 3.28 | Earnings Share 9.53 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Investors evaluate American Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating American Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause American Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that American Financial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Financial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, American Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.