American Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| AFG Stock | USD 136.68 1.19 0.86% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of American Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 136.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 91.39. American Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of American Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the relative strength indicator of American Financial's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.195 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.244 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.976 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.4 | Wall Street Target Price 140.6 |
Using American Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Financial Group from the perspective of American Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American Financial using American Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American Financial's stock price.
American Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in American Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards American. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of American Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 131.5055 | Short Percent 0.0197 | Short Ratio 3.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 136.1506 |
American Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to American Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Financial Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of American Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about American Financial.
American Financial Implied Volatility | 0.18 |
American Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Financial Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of American Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 136.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 91.39. American Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 136.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Financial to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 American Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast American Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in American Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for American Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current American Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to American Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of American Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in American. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
American Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of American Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 136.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.55, mean absolute percentage error of 5.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 91.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
American Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest American Financial | American Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
American Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting American Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 135.31 and 138.05, respectively. We have considered American Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1372 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1903 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5491 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0115 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 91.395 |
Predictive Modules for American Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for American Financial
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Financial's price trends.American Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of American Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of American Financial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0098 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.88) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 137.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 137.04 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.13) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.19) |
American Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9398 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Variance | 1.8 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether American Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Multi-line Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Financial. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.195 | Dividend Share 3.28 | Earnings Share 9.53 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of American Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.