Federal Agricultural Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| AGM Stock | USD 171.82 0.19 0.11% |
Federal Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Federal Agricultural's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Federal Agricultural's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Federal Agricultural fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Federal Agricultural's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.15 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.5433 | EPS Estimate Current Year 17.5767 | EPS Estimate Next Year 19.2467 | Wall Street Target Price 226.6667 |
Using Federal Agricultural hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Federal Agricultural Mortgage from the perspective of Federal Agricultural response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Federal Agricultural using Federal Agricultural's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Federal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Federal Agricultural's stock price.
Federal Agricultural Short Interest
An investor who is long Federal Agricultural may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Federal Agricultural and may potentially protect profits, hedge Federal Agricultural with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 179.1514 | Short Percent 0.0136 | Short Ratio 2.65 | Shares Short Prior Month 262.7 K | 50 Day MA 174.4996 |
Federal Relative Strength Index
Federal Agricultural Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Federal Agricultural's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Federal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Federal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Federal Agricultural Mortgage. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Federal Agricultural's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Federal Agricultural.
Federal Agricultural Implied Volatility | 0.47 |
Federal Agricultural's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Federal Agricultural Mortgage stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Federal Agricultural's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Federal Agricultural stock will not fluctuate a lot when Federal Agricultural's options are near their expiration.
Federal Agricultural after-hype prediction price | USD 171.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Federal Agricultural to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Federal contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Federal Agricultural Mortgage will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Federal Agricultural trading at USD 171.82, that is roughly USD 0.0505 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Federal Agricultural's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Federal Agricultural Mortgage options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Federal Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Federal Agricultural's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Federal Agricultural's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Federal Agricultural stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Federal Agricultural's open interest, investors have to compare it to Federal Agricultural's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Federal Agricultural is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Federal. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Federal Agricultural Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Federal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Federal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Federal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 2652.03 | 1955.15 |
| Check Federal Agricultural Volatility | Backtest Federal Agricultural | Information Ratio |
Federal Agricultural Trading Date Momentum
| On February 06 2026 Federal Agricultural Mortgage was traded for 171.82 at the closing time. Highest Federal Agricultural's price during the trading hours was 172.39 and the lowest price during the day was 169.97 . The net volume was 139.3 K. The overall trading history on the 6th of February did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.10% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Federal Agricultural to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Federal Agricultural
For every potential investor in Federal, whether a beginner or expert, Federal Agricultural's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Federal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Federal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Federal Agricultural's price trends.Federal Agricultural Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Federal Agricultural stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Federal Agricultural could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Federal Agricultural by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Federal Agricultural Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Federal Agricultural stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Federal Agricultural shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Federal Agricultural stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Federal Agricultural Mortgage entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1955.15 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0785 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 171.18 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 171.39 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.73 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.19 |
Federal Agricultural Risk Indicators
The analysis of Federal Agricultural's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Federal Agricultural's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting federal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Variance | 2.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.49 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.39) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Federal Agricultural
The number of cover stories for Federal Agricultural depends on current market conditions and Federal Agricultural's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Federal Agricultural is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Federal Agricultural's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Federal Agricultural Short Properties
Federal Agricultural's future price predictability will typically decrease when Federal Agricultural's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Federal Agricultural Mortgage often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Federal Agricultural's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal Agricultural's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.5 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Federal Agricultural to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Will Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance sector continue expanding? Could Federal diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Federal Agricultural. If investors know Federal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Federal Agricultural data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.15 | Dividend Share 5.9 | Earnings Share 17.56 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.111 |
Investors evaluate Federal Agricultural using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Federal Agricultural's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Federal Agricultural's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Federal Agricultural's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Federal Agricultural represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Federal Agricultural's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.