Alaska Air Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

ALK Stock  USD 51.24  0.73  1.40%   
Alaska Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Alaska Air's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Alaska Air's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Alaska Air fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Alaska Air's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 96

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Alaska Air's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alaska Air Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Alaska Air's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.66)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.8818
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.153
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.6158
Wall Street Target Price
65.8667
Using Alaska Air hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alaska Air Group from the perspective of Alaska Air response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Alaska Air using Alaska Air's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Alaska using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Alaska Air's stock price.

Alaska Air Short Interest

An investor who is long Alaska Air may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Alaska Air and may potentially protect profits, hedge Alaska Air with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
50.2756
Short Percent
0.095
Short Ratio
2.14
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
45.6294

Alaska Air Group Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Alaska Air's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alaska. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alaska can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alaska Air Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Alaska Air's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Alaska Air.

Alaska Air Implied Volatility

    
  0.49  
Alaska Air's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alaska Air Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alaska Air's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alaska Air stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alaska Air's options are near their expiration.

Alaska Air after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 51.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alaska Air to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Alaska Air's Payables Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 1.45 this year, although the value of Inventory Turnover will most likely fall to 32.34. . The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 116.3 M. The value of Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to slide to about 348.1 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Alaska Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Alaska Air's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Alaska Air's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Alaska Air stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Alaska Air's open interest, investors have to compare it to Alaska Air's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Alaska Air is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Alaska. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Alaska Air Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Alaska price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alaska using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alaska charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Alaska Air Group has current Accumulation Distribution of 0. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Alaska Air is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Alaska Air Group to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Alaska Air trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Alaska Air VolatilityBacktest Alaska AirInformation Ratio  

Alaska Air Trading Date Momentum

On January 06 2026 Alaska Air Group was traded for  51.23  at the closing time. Highest Alaska Air's price during the trading hours was 51.23  and the lowest price during the day was  51.23 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 6th of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 1.43% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Alaska Air to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Alaska Air

For every potential investor in Alaska, whether a beginner or expert, Alaska Air's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alaska Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alaska. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alaska Air's price trends.

Alaska Air Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alaska Air stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alaska Air could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alaska Air by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alaska Air Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alaska Air's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alaska Air's current price.

Alaska Air Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alaska Air stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alaska Air shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alaska Air stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alaska Air Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Alaska Air Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alaska Air's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alaska Air's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alaska stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Alaska Air Group is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Alaska Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Alaska Air Group Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Alaska Air Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alaska Air to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alaska Air. If investors know Alaska will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alaska Air listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.66)
Earnings Share
1.22
Revenue Per Share
117.054
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.226
Return On Assets
0.0189
The market value of Alaska Air Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alaska that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alaska Air's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alaska Air's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alaska Air's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alaska Air's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alaska Air's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alaska Air is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alaska Air's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.