Alaska Air Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
| ALK Stock | USD 50.63 0.24 0.47% |
Alaska Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Alaska Air's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Alaska Air's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Alaska Air fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Alaska Air's share price is at 55. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Alaska Air, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.70) | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.4533 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.4729 | Wall Street Target Price 70.8667 |
Using Alaska Air hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alaska Air Group from the perspective of Alaska Air response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Alaska Air using Alaska Air's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Alaska using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Alaska Air's stock price.
Alaska Air Short Interest
An investor who is long Alaska Air may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Alaska Air and may potentially protect profits, hedge Alaska Air with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 50.1921 | Short Percent 0.0866 | Short Ratio 2.32 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.8 M | 50 Day MA 47.46 |
Alaska Relative Strength Index
Alaska Air Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Alaska Air's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alaska. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alaska can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alaska Air Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Alaska Air's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Alaska Air.
Alaska Air Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Alaska Air's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alaska Air Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alaska Air's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alaska Air stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alaska Air's options are near their expiration.
Alaska Air after-hype prediction price | USD 50.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alaska Air to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Alaska contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Alaska Air Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Alaska Air trading at USD 50.63, that is roughly USD 0.0158 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Alaska Air's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Alaska Air Group options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Alaska Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Alaska Air's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Alaska Air's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Alaska Air stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Alaska Air's open interest, investors have to compare it to Alaska Air's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Alaska Air is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Alaska. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Alaska Air Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alaska price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alaska using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alaska charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Alaska Air Volatility | Backtest Alaska Air | Information Ratio |
Alaska Air Trading Date Momentum
| On January 26 2026 Alaska Air Group was traded for 50.63 at the closing time. Highest Alaska Air's price during the trading hours was 52.25 and the lowest price during the day was 47.49 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 26th of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.47% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Alaska Air to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Alaska Air
For every potential investor in Alaska, whether a beginner or expert, Alaska Air's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alaska Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alaska. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alaska Air's price trends.Alaska Air Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alaska Air stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alaska Air could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alaska Air by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alaska Air Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alaska Air stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alaska Air shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alaska Air stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alaska Air Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Alaska Air Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alaska Air's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alaska Air's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alaska stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.76 | |||
| Variance | 7.62 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.97 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.35) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Alaska Air
The number of cover stories for Alaska Air depends on current market conditions and Alaska Air's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alaska Air is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alaska Air's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alaska Air to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alaska Air. If investors know Alaska will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alaska Air listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Earnings Share 0.83 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.028 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Alaska Air Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alaska that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alaska Air's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alaska Air's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alaska Air's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alaska Air's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alaska Air's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alaska Air is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alaska Air's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.