Alerus Financial Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| ALRS Stock | USD 23.96 0.22 0.93% |
Alerus Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Alerus Financial's share price is at 57. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Alerus Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.5 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.582 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.5 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.526 | Wall Street Target Price 25.2 |
Using Alerus Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alerus Financial Corp from the perspective of Alerus Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Alerus Financial using Alerus Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Alerus using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Alerus Financial's stock price.
Alerus Financial Implied Volatility | 1.09 |
Alerus Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alerus Financial Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alerus Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alerus Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alerus Financial's options are near their expiration.
Alerus Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 24.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alerus Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Alerus contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Alerus Financial Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0681% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Alerus Financial trading at USD 23.96, that is roughly USD 0.0163 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Alerus Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Alerus Financial Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.09%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Alerus Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Alerus Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Alerus Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Alerus Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Alerus Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Alerus Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Alerus Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Alerus. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Alerus Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alerus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alerus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alerus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 5191.21 | 0.0092 |
| Check Alerus Financial Volatility | Backtest Alerus Financial | Information Ratio |
Alerus Financial Trading Date Momentum
| On January 27 2026 Alerus Financial Corp was traded for 23.96 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 23.96 and the lowest listed price was 23.74 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 27, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.92% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Alerus Financial to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Alerus Financial
For every potential investor in Alerus, whether a beginner or expert, Alerus Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alerus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alerus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alerus Financial's price trends.Alerus Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alerus Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alerus Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alerus Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alerus Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alerus Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alerus Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alerus Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alerus Financial Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Alerus Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alerus Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alerus Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alerus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.52 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Alerus Financial
The number of cover stories for Alerus Financial depends on current market conditions and Alerus Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alerus Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alerus Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Alerus Financial Short Properties
Alerus Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alerus Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alerus Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alerus Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alerus Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 649.3 M |
Additional Tools for Alerus Stock Analysis
When running Alerus Financial's price analysis, check to measure Alerus Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alerus Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Alerus Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alerus Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alerus Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alerus Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.