Applied Digital Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
| APLD Stock | USD 41.34 5.16 14.26% |
Applied Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Applied Digital stock prices and determine the direction of Applied Digital's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Applied Digital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength indicator of Applied Digital's stock price is about 61. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Applied, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.41) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.90) | Wall Street Target Price 43.8182 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.21) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.501 |
Using Applied Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Applied Digital from the perspective of Applied Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Applied Digital using Applied Digital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Applied using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Applied Digital's stock price.
Applied Digital Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Applied Digital's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Applied. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Applied Digital stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 18.672 | Short Percent 0.297 | Short Ratio 3.03 | Shares Short Prior Month 78.7 M | 50 Day MA 28.5481 |
Applied Relative Strength Index
Applied Digital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Applied Digital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Applied. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Applied can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Applied Digital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Applied Digital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Applied Digital.
Applied Digital Implied Volatility | 1.17 |
Applied Digital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Applied Digital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Applied Digital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Applied Digital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Applied Digital's options are near their expiration.
Applied Digital after-hype prediction price | USD 35.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Applied Digital to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Applied contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Applied Digital will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0731% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Applied Digital trading at USD 41.34, that is roughly USD 0.0302 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Applied Digital's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Applied Digital options at the current volatility level of 1.17%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Applied Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Applied Digital's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Applied Digital's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Applied Digital stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Applied Digital's open interest, investors have to compare it to Applied Digital's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Applied Digital is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Applied. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Applied Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Applied price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applied using various technical indicators. When you analyze Applied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (3.71) | 5.16 |
| Check Applied Digital Volatility | Backtest Applied Digital | Information Ratio |
Applied Digital Trading Date Momentum
| On January 27 2026 Applied Digital was traded for 41.34 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 41.35 and the lowest listed price was 36.18 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 27, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 12.48% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Applied Digital to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Applied Digital
For every potential investor in Applied, whether a beginner or expert, Applied Digital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Applied Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Applied. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Applied Digital's price trends.Applied Digital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Applied Digital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Applied Digital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Applied Digital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Applied Digital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Applied Digital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Applied Digital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Applied Digital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Applied Digital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Applied Digital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Applied Digital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Applied Digital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting applied stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.89 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.59 | |||
| Variance | 43.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 35.6 | |||
| Semi Variance | 30.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.56) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Applied Digital
The number of cover stories for Applied Digital depends on current market conditions and Applied Digital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Applied Digital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Applied Digital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Applied Digital Short Properties
Applied Digital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Applied Digital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Applied Digital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Applied Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Applied Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 201.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 113.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Applied Digital to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Applied Stock refer to our How to Trade Applied Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Applied Digital. If investors know Applied will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Applied Digital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.39) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.501 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Applied Digital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Applied that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Applied Digital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Applied Digital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Applied Digital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Applied Digital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Applied Digital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Applied Digital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Applied Digital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.