BayCom Corp Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average

BCML Stock

USD 30.85 -0.09 -0.29%

This 20 Period Moving Average projection for BayCom Corp is fitted to the equity's recent daily closes. Low error metrics relative to the price level indicate the model fits recent trading behavior well. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects BayCom Corp at 29.59 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. This forecast is one analytical input among many and should be assessed in the context of broader analysis.

The 20-period moving average forecast for BayCom Corp replaces each daily value with the mean of that value and the 20 preceding closing prices. This is a widely used smoothing window that spans approximately one month of trading data.

20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026

Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts BayCom Corp at 29.59 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 30.14 .

This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of BayCom Corp's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

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BayCom Corp Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Forecasted Value

The next-day forecast range for BayCom Corp defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The model places downside around 27.61 and upside around 31.56 for the next session. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.

Market Value

30.85

27.61

Downside

29.59

Expected Value

31.56

Upside

Target Odds

Above Odds

Below Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for BayCom Corp stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.

AIC	Akaike Information Criteria	81.2624
Bias	Arithmetic mean of the errors	-0.2376
MAD	Mean absolute deviation	0.735
MAPE	Mean absolute percentage error	0.0246
SAE	Sum of the absolute errors	30.1365

The broader window aggressively filters short-term noise in BayCom Corp price data, producing a smooth trend line. This makes it useful for identifying the prevailing direction of BayCom Corp prices but slow to respond to reversals. The model is reliable only for very short-term projections (one to two periods).

Other Forecasting Options for BayCom Corp

The autocorrelation structure of BayCom Corp's daily returns reveals whether BayCom Corp exhibits momentum, mean-reversion, or random-walk behavior. Separating these elements distinguishes persistent directional moves from temporary noise in BayCom Corp Stock price data.

BayCom Corp Related Equities

Investors studying BayCom Corp often look at related stocks within the Financials space to gauge pricing and results. Profit comparisons show whether BayCom Corp earns above or below average returns next to its peers. A stock that beats its peers on many metrics often deserves a closer look from value-focused investors.

PCB Bancorp Citizens Northern Corp Waterstone Financial FS Bancorp Plumas Bancorp Colony Bankcorp Isabella Bank RBB Bancorp John Marshall Bancorp First Bancorp American Airlines Group Alcoa Corp Apple Inc Best Buy Co Citigroup

Risk & Return

Correlation

BayCom Corp Market Strength Events

Rate of Change and Momentum readings for BayCom Corp measure the velocity of recent price moves rather than direction alone. These indicators add context to how recent sessions in BayCom Corp have behaved.

	Accumulation Distribution	0.0231
	Daily Balance Of Power	-0.12
	Rate Of Daily Change	1.0
	Day Median Price	30.86
	Day Typical Price	30.86
	Market Facilitation Index	0.72
	Price Action Indicator	-0.06
	Period Momentum Indicator	-0.09
	Relative Strength Index	55.83

BayCom Corp Risk Indicators

Standard deviation and variance for BayCom Corp measure total price dispersion, while semi-deviation isolates only the downside moves. Higher variance relative to sector peers signals that BayCom Corp's price path has been less predictable over the measured period.

	Mean Deviation	1.19
	Semi Deviation	2.24
	Standard Deviation	1.96
	Variance	3.84
	Downside Variance	5.64
	Semi Variance	5.03
	Expected Short fall	-1.16

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

BayCom Corp Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to BayCom Corp matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	10.9 million
	Cash And Short Term Investments	206.49 million

	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
	Double Exponential Smoothing
	Triple Exponential Smoothing
	Simple Regression
	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
	4 Period Moving Average
	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average