BankFinancial Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| BFIN Stock | USD 12.00 0.05 0.41% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BankFinancial on the next trading day is expected to be 12.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.54. BankFinancial Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although BankFinancial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of BankFinancial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of BankFinancial fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of BankFinancial's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.184 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.19 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.67 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.79 | Wall Street Target Price 11.5 |
Using BankFinancial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BankFinancial from the perspective of BankFinancial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BankFinancial using BankFinancial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BankFinancial using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BankFinancial's stock price.
BankFinancial Short Interest
An investor who is long BankFinancial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about BankFinancial and may potentially protect profits, hedge BankFinancial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 11.9164 | Short Percent 0.0308 | Short Ratio 5.91 | Shares Short Prior Month 287.2 K | 50 Day MA 11.822 |
BankFinancial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to BankFinancial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BankFinancial. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BankFinancial can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BankFinancial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BankFinancial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BankFinancial.
BankFinancial Implied Volatility | 1.15 |
BankFinancial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BankFinancial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BankFinancial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BankFinancial stock will not fluctuate a lot when BankFinancial's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BankFinancial on the next trading day is expected to be 12.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.54. BankFinancial after-hype prediction price | USD 12.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BankFinancial | Build AI portfolio with BankFinancial Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 BankFinancial Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast BankFinancial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in BankFinancial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for BankFinancial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current BankFinancial's open interest, investors have to compare it to BankFinancial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of BankFinancial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in BankFinancial. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
BankFinancial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BankFinancial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BankFinancial using various technical indicators. When you analyze BankFinancial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BankFinancial Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of BankFinancial on the next trading day is expected to be 12.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BankFinancial Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BankFinancial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BankFinancial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BankFinancial | BankFinancial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BankFinancial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BankFinancial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4833 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3695 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0314 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.5392 |
Predictive Modules for BankFinancial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BankFinancial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BankFinancial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BankFinancial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BankFinancial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BankFinancial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BankFinancial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BankFinancial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BankFinancial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BankFinancial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BankFinancial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BankFinancial Risk Indicators
The analysis of BankFinancial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BankFinancial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bankfinancial stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Variance | 3.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.96 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with BankFinancial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if BankFinancial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BankFinancial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with BankFinancial Stock
| 0.78 | AUB | Atlantic Union Bankshares Normal Trading | PairCorr |
Moving against BankFinancial Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to BankFinancial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace BankFinancial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back BankFinancial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling BankFinancial to buy it.
The correlation of BankFinancial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as BankFinancial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if BankFinancial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for BankFinancial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BankFinancial. If investors know BankFinancial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BankFinancial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.184 | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share 0.19 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.075 |
The market value of BankFinancial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BankFinancial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BankFinancial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BankFinancial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BankFinancial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BankFinancial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BankFinancial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BankFinancial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BankFinancial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.