Banco Santander Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BSAC Stock  USD 19.46  0.06  0.31%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banco Santander Chile on the next trading day is expected to be 19.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.34. Banco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Banco Santander stock prices and determine the direction of Banco Santander Chile's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Banco Santander's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of November 22, 2024, Receivables Turnover is expected to decline to 2.94. In addition to that, Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to decline to 4.43. The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 197.9 B. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 956.7 B.

Banco Santander Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Banco Santander's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1998-12-31
Previous Quarter
T
Current Value
1.9 T
Quarterly Volatility
1.7 T
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Banco Santander is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Banco Santander Chile value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Banco Santander Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banco Santander Chile on the next trading day is expected to be 19.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banco Santander's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Banco Santander Stock Forecast Pattern

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Banco Santander Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Banco Santander's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Banco Santander's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.09 and 20.80, respectively. We have considered Banco Santander's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.46
19.44
Expected Value
20.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banco Santander stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banco Santander stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.1764
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3007
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0149
SAESum of the absolute errors18.3434
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Banco Santander Chile. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Banco Santander. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Banco Santander

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Santander Chile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.1019.4620.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5123.0024.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.7319.7420.74
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.7119.4621.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Banco Santander. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Banco Santander's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Banco Santander's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Banco Santander Chile.

Other Forecasting Options for Banco Santander

For every potential investor in Banco, whether a beginner or expert, Banco Santander's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Banco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Banco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Banco Santander's price trends.

View Banco Santander Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Banco Santander Chile Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Banco Santander's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Banco Santander's current price.

Banco Santander Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Banco Santander stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Banco Santander shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Banco Santander stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Banco Santander Chile entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Banco Santander Risk Indicators

The analysis of Banco Santander's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Banco Santander's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting banco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Banco Santander Chile offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Banco Santander's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Banco Santander Chile Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Banco Santander Chile Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Santander to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Banco Santander. If investors know Banco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Banco Santander listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.3
Dividend Share
1.844
Earnings Share
1.84
Revenue Per Share
2.1 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.828
The market value of Banco Santander Chile is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Banco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Banco Santander's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Banco Santander's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Banco Santander's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Banco Santander's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Santander's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Santander is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Santander's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.