Cass Information Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CASS Stock | USD 43.49 0.99 2.23% |
Cass Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Cass Information's share price is at 56 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cass Information, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.88 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.64 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.81 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.5 | Wall Street Target Price 50 |
Using Cass Information hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cass Information Systems from the perspective of Cass Information response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cass Information using Cass Information's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cass using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cass Information's stock price.
Cass Information Implied Volatility | 1.03 |
Cass Information's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cass Information Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cass Information's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cass Information stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cass Information's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cass Information Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 43.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.40. Cass Information after-hype prediction price | USD 44.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cass Information to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cass contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cass Information Systems will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0644% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Cass Information trading at USD 43.49, that is roughly USD 0.028 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cass Information's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cass Information Systems options at the current volatility level of 1.03%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Cass Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cass Information's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cass Information's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cass Information stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cass Information's open interest, investors have to compare it to Cass Information's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cass Information is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cass. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Cass Information Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cass price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cass using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cass charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cass Information Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cass Information Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 43.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cass Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cass Information's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cass Information Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cass Information | Cass Information Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cass Information Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cass Information's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cass Information's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.98 and 45.06, respectively. We have considered Cass Information's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cass Information stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cass Information stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.042 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5153 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0123 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.4 |
Predictive Modules for Cass Information
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cass Information Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cass Information's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cass Information After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cass Information at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cass Information or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cass Information, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cass Information Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cass Information's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cass Information's historical news coverage. Cass Information's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.98 and 46.06, respectively. We have considered Cass Information's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cass Information is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cass Information Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cass Information Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cass Information is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cass Information backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cass Information, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.54 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
43.49 | 44.52 | 0.09 |
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Cass Information Hype Timeline
Cass Information Systems is currently traded for 43.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Cass is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 44.52 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Cass Information is about 1750.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.51. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 191.1 M. Net Income was 19.17 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 97.01 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cass Information to cross-verify your projections.Cass Information Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cass Information's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cass Information's future price movements. Getting to know how Cass Information's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cass Information may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPIR | Spire Global | 0.82 | 9 per month | 6.76 | 0.06 | 8.32 | (5.84) | 31.88 | |
| NWPX | Northwest Pipe | (0.79) | 9 per month | 1.35 | 0.15 | 3.78 | (2.68) | 10.96 | |
| KFRC | Kforce Inc | 0.38 | 3 per month | 1.79 | 0.08 | 3.64 | (3.00) | 32.43 | |
| ULH | Universal Logistics Holdings | (0.73) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.52 | (6.95) | 18.95 | |
| KODK | Eastman Kodak Co | 0.38 | 3 per month | 2.86 | 0.06 | 7.07 | (4.89) | 40.56 | |
| FBYD | Falcons Beyond Global | 0.39 | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 19.89 | (15.22) | 45.53 | |
| EBF | Ennis Inc | (0.04) | 8 per month | 1.03 | 0.11 | 2.20 | (1.93) | 6.77 | |
| CVLG | Covenant Logistics Group | 0.39 | 24 per month | 1.89 | 0.08 | 4.95 | (2.57) | 9.12 | |
| SRTA | Strata Critical Medical | (0.30) | 9 per month | 3.45 | 0.01 | 6.22 | (6.74) | 23.54 | |
| CLCO | Cool Company | 0.38 | 10 per month | 0.37 | (0.15) | 0.62 | (0.62) | 2.26 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cass Information
For every potential investor in Cass, whether a beginner or expert, Cass Information's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cass Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cass. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cass Information's price trends.Cass Information Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cass Information stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cass Information could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cass Information by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cass Information Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cass Information stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cass Information shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cass Information stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cass Information Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 43.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 43.49 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.49) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.99) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.41 |
Cass Information Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cass Information's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cass Information's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cass stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.43) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cass Information
The number of cover stories for Cass Information depends on current market conditions and Cass Information's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cass Information is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cass Information's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cass Information Short Properties
Cass Information's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cass Information's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cass Information Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cass Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cass Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Additional Tools for Cass Stock Analysis
When running Cass Information's price analysis, check to measure Cass Information's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cass Information is operating at the current time. Most of Cass Information's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cass Information's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cass Information's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cass Information to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.