Commerce Bancshares Stock Forward View - Rate Of Daily Change
| CBSH Stock | USD 53.60 0.30 0.56% |
Commerce Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Commerce Bancshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 16th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Commerce Bancshares' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.06 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.975 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.1213 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.4267 | Wall Street Target Price 62 |
Using Commerce Bancshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Commerce Bancshares from the perspective of Commerce Bancshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Commerce Bancshares using Commerce Bancshares' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Commerce using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Commerce Bancshares' stock price.
Commerce Bancshares Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Commerce Bancshares' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Commerce. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Commerce Bancshares stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 56.1767 | Short Percent 0.0298 | Short Ratio 3.26 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.5 M | 50 Day MA 53.4268 |
Commerce Relative Strength Index
Commerce Bancshares Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Commerce Bancshares' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Commerce. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Commerce can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Commerce Bancshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Commerce Bancshares' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Commerce Bancshares.
Commerce Bancshares Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
Commerce Bancshares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Commerce Bancshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Commerce Bancshares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Commerce Bancshares stock will not fluctuate a lot when Commerce Bancshares' options are near their expiration.
Commerce Bancshares after-hype prediction price | USD 53.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Commerce Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Commerce contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Commerce Bancshares will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Commerce Bancshares trading at USD 53.6, that is roughly USD 0.0141 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Commerce Bancshares' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Commerce Bancshares options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Commerce Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Commerce Bancshares' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Commerce Bancshares' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Commerce Bancshares stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Commerce Bancshares' open interest, investors have to compare it to Commerce Bancshares' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Commerce Bancshares is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Commerce. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Commerce Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Commerce price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Commerce using various technical indicators. When you analyze Commerce charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Rate Of Daily Change | Rate Of Daily Change | Trend |
| 0.99 | 0.99 |
| Check Commerce Bancshares Volatility | Backtest Commerce Bancshares | Information Ratio |
Commerce Bancshares Trading Date Momentum
| On February 16 2026 Commerce Bancshares was traded for 53.60 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 54.02 and the lowest listed price was 53.30 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 16, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.56% . |
The rate of daily change can indicate whether a given asset was oversold or over brought during a given period.
| Compare Commerce Bancshares to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Commerce Bancshares
For every potential investor in Commerce, whether a beginner or expert, Commerce Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Commerce Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Commerce. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Commerce Bancshares' price trends.Commerce Bancshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Commerce Bancshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Commerce Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Commerce Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Commerce Bancshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Commerce Bancshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Commerce Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Commerce Bancshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Commerce Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Commerce Bancshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of Commerce Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Commerce Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting commerce stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9695 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Variance | 1.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.08) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Commerce Bancshares
The number of cover stories for Commerce Bancshares depends on current market conditions and Commerce Bancshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Commerce Bancshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Commerce Bancshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Commerce Bancshares Short Properties
Commerce Bancshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when Commerce Bancshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Commerce Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Commerce Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Commerce Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 138.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.9 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Commerce Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Commerce Stock please use our How to Invest in Commerce Bancshares guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is there potential for Regional Banks market expansion? Will Commerce introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commerce Bancshares. Projected growth potential of Commerce fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Commerce Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.06 | Dividend Share 1.1 | Earnings Share 4.04 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.065 |
Investors evaluate Commerce Bancshares using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Commerce Bancshares' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Commerce Bancshares' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Commerce Bancshares' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Commerce Bancshares should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Commerce Bancshares' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.