Citizens Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CFG Stock  USD 59.39  0.98  1.68%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Citizens Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 59.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.67. Citizens Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Citizens Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Citizens Financial's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Citizens Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Citizens Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Citizens Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Citizens Financial Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Citizens Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.364
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.111
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.8349
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.0282
Wall Street Target Price
63.625
Using Citizens Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citizens Financial Group from the perspective of Citizens Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Citizens Financial using Citizens Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Citizens using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Citizens Financial's stock price.

Citizens Financial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Citizens Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Citizens. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Citizens Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
47.3894
Short Percent
0.044
Short Ratio
2.72
Shares Short Prior Month
13 M
50 Day MA
54.3404

Citizens Financial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Citizens Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Citizens. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Citizens can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Citizens Financial Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Citizens Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Citizens Financial.

Citizens Financial Implied Volatility

    
  0.37  
Citizens Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Citizens Financial Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Citizens Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Citizens Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Citizens Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Citizens Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 59.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.67.

Citizens Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 59.39  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citizens Financial to cross-verify your projections.
The Citizens Financial's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 11.36, while Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to decrease to 8.07. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 399.9 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 1.5 B.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Citizens Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Citizens Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Citizens Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Citizens Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Citizens Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Citizens Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Citizens Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Citizens. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Citizens Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Citizens price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citizens using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citizens charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Citizens Financial is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Citizens Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Citizens Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 59.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71, mean absolute percentage error of 0.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Citizens Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Citizens Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Citizens Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Citizens FinancialCitizens Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Citizens Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Citizens Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Citizens Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 57.64 and 61.14, respectively. We have considered Citizens Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
59.39
59.39
Expected Value
61.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Citizens Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Citizens Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2535
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.187
MADMean absolute deviation0.7112
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0135
SAESum of the absolute errors42.67
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Citizens Financial Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Citizens Financial. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Citizens Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citizens Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
57.6559.3961.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.8547.5965.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
51.2556.6762.10
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
57.9063.6270.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Citizens Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Citizens Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Citizens Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Citizens Financial.

Other Forecasting Options for Citizens Financial

For every potential investor in Citizens, whether a beginner or expert, Citizens Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Citizens Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Citizens. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Citizens Financial's price trends.

Citizens Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Citizens Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Citizens Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Citizens Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Citizens Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Citizens Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Citizens Financial's current price.

Citizens Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Citizens Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Citizens Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Citizens Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Citizens Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Citizens Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Citizens Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Citizens Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting citizens stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Citizens Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Citizens Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Citizens Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Citizens Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citizens Financial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Citizens Financial. If investors know Citizens will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Citizens Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.364
Dividend Share
1.68
Earnings Share
3.57
Revenue Per Share
17.071
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.136
The market value of Citizens Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Citizens that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Citizens Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Citizens Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Citizens Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Citizens Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Citizens Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Citizens Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Citizens Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.