Chemung Financial Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

CHMG Stock  USD 59.44  1.24  2.04%   
Chemung Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Chemung Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 14th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Chemung Financial's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Chemung Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Chemung Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Chemung Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chemung Financial Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Chemung Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.299
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.585
EPS Estimate Current Year
7.1
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.2
Wall Street Target Price
64
Using Chemung Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chemung Financial Corp from the perspective of Chemung Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Chemung Relative Strength Index

Chemung Financial Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Chemung Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Chemung. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chemung can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chemung Financial Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Chemung Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Chemung Financial.

Chemung Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 59.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chemung Financial to cross-verify your projections.

Chemung Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chemung price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chemung using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chemung charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Chemung Financial Corp has current Accumulation Distribution of 59.27. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Chemung Financial is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Chemung Financial Corp to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Chemung Financial trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Chemung Financial VolatilityBacktest Chemung FinancialInformation Ratio  

Chemung Financial Trading Date Momentum

On February 13 2026 Chemung Financial Corp was traded for  59.44  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 60.85  and the lowest listed price was  59.44 . The trading volume for the day was 2.6 K. The trading history from February 13, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 2.37% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Chemung Financial to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Chemung Financial

For every potential investor in Chemung, whether a beginner or expert, Chemung Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chemung Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chemung. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chemung Financial's price trends.

Chemung Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chemung Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chemung Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chemung Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Chemung Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chemung Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chemung Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chemung Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chemung Financial Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Chemung Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Chemung Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chemung Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chemung stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Chemung Financial

The number of cover stories for Chemung Financial depends on current market conditions and Chemung Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chemung Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chemung Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Chemung Financial Short Properties

Chemung Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chemung Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chemung Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chemung Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chemung Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments303.4 M
When determining whether Chemung Financial Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Chemung Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Chemung Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Chemung Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chemung Financial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Can Regional Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does Chemung have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chemung Financial. Projected growth potential of Chemung fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Chemung Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.299
Dividend Share
1.32
Earnings Share
3.14
Revenue Per Share
18.873
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.16
Chemung Financial Corp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Chemung's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Chemung Financial's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Chemung Financial's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Chemung Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Chemung Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Chemung Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.