Chime Financial Stock Forward View

CHYM Stock   19.69  0.35  1.81%   
Chime Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Chime Financial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Chime Financial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Chime Financial fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Chime Financial's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Chime Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Chime Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Chime Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chime Financial Class, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Chime Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.20)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.323
Using Chime Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chime Financial Class from the perspective of Chime Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Chime Financial using Chime Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Chime using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Chime Financial's stock price.

Chime Financial Short Interest

An investor who is long Chime Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Chime Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Chime Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
34.962
Shares Short Prior Month
M
Shares Short
9.3 M

Chime Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chime Financial Class on the next trading day is expected to be 18.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.81.

Chime Financial Class Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Chime Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Chime. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chime can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chime Financial Class. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Chime Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Chime Financial.

Chime Financial Implied Volatility

    
  1.08  
Chime Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Chime Financial Class stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Chime Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Chime Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Chime Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chime Financial Class on the next trading day is expected to be 18.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.81.

Chime Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.57  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chime Financial to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Chime contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Chime Financial Class will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0675% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Chime Financial trading at USD 19.69, that is roughly USD 0.0133 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Chime Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Chime Financial Class options at the current volatility level of 1.08%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Chime Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Chime Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Chime Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Chime Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Chime Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Chime Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Chime Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Chime. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Chime Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chime price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chime using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chime charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Chime Financial Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Chime Financial's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
388.4 M
Current Value
286.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
55.4 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Chime Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Chime Financial Class value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Chime Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chime Financial Class on the next trading day is expected to be 18.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 0.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chime Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chime Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Chime Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Chime Financial  Chime Financial Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Chime Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Chime Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chime Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.57 and 21.93, respectively. We have considered Chime Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.69
18.25
Expected Value
21.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chime Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chime Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.9366
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7182
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0303
SAESum of the absolute errors43.8075
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Chime Financial Class. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Chime Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Chime Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chime Financial Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chime Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.9319.5723.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8916.5320.17
Details

Chime Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Chime Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chime Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chime Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Chime Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Chime Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chime Financial's historical news coverage. Chime Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.93 and 23.21, respectively. We have considered Chime Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.69
19.57
After-hype Price
23.21
Upside
Chime Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chime Financial Class is based on 3 months time horizon.

Chime Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chime Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chime Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chime Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
3.68
  0.09 
  0.01 
30 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 30 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.69
19.57
0.56 
721.57  
Notes

Chime Financial Hype Timeline

Chime Financial Class is currently traded for 19.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Chime is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.56%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Chime Financial is about 9462.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.70. About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.43. Chime Financial Class had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 30 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chime Financial to cross-verify your projections.

Chime Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Chime Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chime Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Chime Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chime Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CBSHCommerce Bancshares 0.64 10 per month 1.19  0.01  2.40 (2.03) 5.74 
CADECadence Bancorp(0.56)6 per month 1.49  0.07  3.30 (2.25) 10.36 
BOKFBOK Financial(1.20)9 per month 0.73  0.19  3.17 (1.22) 7.41 
PNFPPinnacle Financial Partners(0.84)9 per month 1.58  0.06  3.19 (2.64) 8.66 
ZIONZions Bancorporation 1.07 10 per month 1.29  0.12  2.58 (2.09) 8.52 
SNVSinovus Mining(0.43)1 per month 1.99 (0.01) 2.93 (2.49) 9.63 
CFRCullenFrost Bankers 0.39 9 per month 0.74  0.13  3.15 (1.29) 7.64 
ONBOld National Bancorp(0.51)10 per month 1.21  0.12  2.93 (2.21) 7.78 
BPOPPopular 1.79 8 per month 1.35  0.16  2.96 (2.44) 9.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Chime Financial

For every potential investor in Chime, whether a beginner or expert, Chime Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chime Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chime. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chime Financial's price trends.

Chime Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chime Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chime Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chime Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Chime Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chime Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chime Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chime Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chime Financial Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Chime Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Chime Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chime Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chime stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Chime Financial

The number of cover stories for Chime Financial depends on current market conditions and Chime Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chime Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chime Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Chime Financial Short Properties

Chime Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chime Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chime Financial Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chime Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chime Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding364.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments706.6 M
When determining whether Chime Financial Class is a strong investment it is important to analyze Chime Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Chime Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Chime Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chime Financial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Will Transaction & Payment Processing Services sector continue expanding? Could Chime diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chime Financial. Projected growth potential of Chime fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Chime Financial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.20)
Earnings Share
(2.43)
Revenue Per Share
27.58
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.323
The market value of Chime Financial Class is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chime that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chime Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chime Financial's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Chime Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chime Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Chime Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Chime Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Chime Financial's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.