CNFinance Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| CNF Stock | USD 5.66 0.10 1.74% |
CNFinance Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CNFinance Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, The relative strength indicator of CNFinance Holdings' share price is at 53 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CNFinance Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.07 | Wall Street Target Price 20.5547 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.75) |
Using CNFinance Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNFinance Holdings from the perspective of CNFinance Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CNFinance Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 5.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.55. CNFinance Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 5.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CNFinance | Build AI portfolio with CNFinance Stock |
CNFinance Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CNFinance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNFinance using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNFinance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CNFinance Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CNFinance Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 5.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CNFinance Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CNFinance Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CNFinance Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CNFinance Holdings | CNFinance Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CNFinance Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CNFinance Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CNFinance Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.71 and 10.58, respectively. We have considered CNFinance Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CNFinance Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CNFinance Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8895 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4516 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0856 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.546 |
Predictive Modules for CNFinance Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CNFinance Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CNFinance Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CNFinance Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CNFinance Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CNFinance Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CNFinance Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CNFinance Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CNFinance Holdings' historical news coverage. CNFinance Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.53 and 10.79, respectively. We have considered CNFinance Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CNFinance Holdings is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CNFinance Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
CNFinance Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CNFinance Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CNFinance Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CNFinance Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 4.94 | 0.08 | 1.49 | 6 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.66 | 5.66 | 0.00 |
|
CNFinance Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January CNFinance Holdings is traded for 5.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.49. CNFinance is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on CNFinance Holdings is about 129.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.15. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.06. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CNFinance Holdings recorded a loss per share of 1.15. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 5th of September 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNFinance Holdings to cross-verify your projections.CNFinance Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CNFinance Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CNFinance Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how CNFinance Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CNFinance Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LMFA | LM Funding America | (0.18) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 11.11 | (10.17) | 34.58 | |
| CARV | Carver Bancorp | 9.44 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 13.17 | (13.85) | 53.88 | |
| ABTS | Abits Group | (0.11) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 11.93 | (8.66) | 30.83 | |
| TACO | Berto Acquisition Corp | (0.03) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 0.20 | (0.29) | 4.06 | |
| AURE | Prestige Wealth | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 13.64 | (10.71) | 31.22 | |
| GSIW | Garden Stage Limited | 10.50 | 1 per month | 3.69 | (0.02) | 7.69 | (7.14) | 19.17 | |
| MEGL | Magic Empire Global | 9.31 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.56 | (6.57) | 26.79 | |
| OXBR | Oxbridge Re Holdings | 9.34 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.24 | (7.46) | 17.96 | |
| ATII | Archimedes Tech SPAC | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.39 | (0.29) | 0.87 | |
| PRHI | Presurance Holdings | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 11.11 | (8.97) | 34.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for CNFinance Holdings
For every potential investor in CNFinance, whether a beginner or expert, CNFinance Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CNFinance Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CNFinance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CNFinance Holdings' price trends.CNFinance Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CNFinance Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CNFinance Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CNFinance Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CNFinance Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CNFinance Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CNFinance Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CNFinance Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CNFinance Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CNFinance Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of CNFinance Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CNFinance Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cnfinance stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.83 | |||
| Variance | 23.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.14 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CNFinance Holdings
The number of cover stories for CNFinance Holdings depends on current market conditions and CNFinance Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CNFinance Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CNFinance Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
CNFinance Holdings Short Properties
CNFinance Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when CNFinance Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CNFinance Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CNFinance Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNFinance Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNFinance Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in CNFinance Stock please use our How to Invest in CNFinance Holdings guide.You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CNFinance Holdings. If investors know CNFinance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CNFinance Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Earnings Share (1.15) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.75) | Return On Assets |
The market value of CNFinance Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CNFinance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CNFinance Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CNFinance Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CNFinance Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CNFinance Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CNFinance Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CNFinance Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CNFinance Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.