Capri Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| CPRI Stock | USD 23.88 0.79 3.20% |
Capri Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Capri Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Capri Holdings' share price is approaching 47 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Capri Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.6422 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3799 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8645 | Wall Street Target Price 28.5625 |
Using Capri Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capri Holdings from the perspective of Capri Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Capri Holdings using Capri Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Capri using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Capri Holdings' stock price.
Capri Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Capri Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Capri. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Capri Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 20.4111 | Short Percent 0.0722 | Short Ratio 2.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.9 M | 50 Day MA 24.8624 |
Capri Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Capri Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 26.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.69.Capri Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Capri Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Capri. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Capri can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Capri Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Capri Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Capri Holdings.
Capri Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.93 |
Capri Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Capri Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Capri Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Capri Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Capri Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Capri Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 26.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.69. Capri Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 24.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capri Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Capri contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Capri Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0581% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Capri Holdings trading at USD 23.88, that is roughly USD 0.0139 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Capri Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Capri Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.93%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Capri Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Capri Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Capri Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Capri Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Capri Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Capri Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Capri Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Capri. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Capri Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Capri price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capri using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capri charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Capri Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Capri Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 26.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18, mean absolute percentage error of 2.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Capri Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Capri Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Capri Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Capri Holdings | Capri Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Capri Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Capri Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Capri Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.99 and 28.88, respectively. We have considered Capri Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Capri Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Capri Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.819 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1752 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0484 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 71.6876 |
Predictive Modules for Capri Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capri Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capri Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Capri Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capri Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Capri Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Capri Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Capri Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capri Holdings' historical news coverage. Capri Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.21 and 27.13, respectively. We have considered Capri Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Capri Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capri Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Capri Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Capri Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capri Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capri Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.45 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.88 | 24.67 | 0.00 |
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Capri Holdings Hype Timeline
Capri Holdings is currently traded for 23.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Capri is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Capri Holdings is about 2474.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.86. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.83. Capri Holdings recorded a loss per share of 10.21. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capri Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Capri Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Capri Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capri Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Capri Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capri Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZGN | Ermenegildo Zegna NV | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.79 | (3.06) | 17.11 | |
| FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | (0.94) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.52 | (6.75) | 27.50 | |
| DRVN | Driven Brands Holdings | 0.29 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.92 | (2.87) | 9.66 | |
| SBET | Sharplink Gaming | 0.55 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.07 | (9.51) | 19.15 | |
| SHOO | Steven Madden | (0.22) | 9 per month | 1.20 | 0.14 | 3.54 | (2.32) | 16.50 | |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory | (0.79) | 9 per month | 2.28 | 0.03 | 4.01 | (2.82) | 9.56 | |
| PENN | Penn National Gaming | 0.01 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.41 | (4.27) | 13.97 | |
| HBI | Hanesbrands | 0.29 | 18 per month | 1.49 | (0.02) | 2.38 | (2.35) | 7.22 | |
| OSW | OneSpaWorld Holdings | (0.08) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.69 | (2.86) | 10.62 | |
| LCII | LCI Industries | (0.18) | 9 per month | 0.25 | 0.31 | 5.33 | (1.91) | 11.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for Capri Holdings
For every potential investor in Capri, whether a beginner or expert, Capri Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Capri Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Capri. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Capri Holdings' price trends.Capri Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Capri Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Capri Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capri Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Capri Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Capri Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Capri Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Capri Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Capri Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Capri Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Capri Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Capri Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting capri stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.45 | |||
| Variance | 6.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.57 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.31) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Capri Holdings
The number of cover stories for Capri Holdings depends on current market conditions and Capri Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Capri Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Capri Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Capri Holdings Short Properties
Capri Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Capri Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Capri Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Capri Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capri Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 118.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 166 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capri Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Capri Stock please use our How to Invest in Capri Holdings guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capri Holdings. If investors know Capri will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capri Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Earnings Share (10.21) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Capri Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capri that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capri Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capri Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capri Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capri Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capri Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capri Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capri Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.