Cemex SAB Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CX Stock  USD 5.36  0.09  1.65%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cemex SAB de on the next trading day is expected to be 5.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.05. Cemex Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Payables Turnover is likely to rise to 6.71 in 2025, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 5.62 in 2025. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 16.1 B in 2025. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 419.2 M in 2025.

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 Cemex Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cemex SAB's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cemex SAB's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cemex SAB stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cemex SAB's open interest, investors have to compare it to Cemex SAB's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cemex SAB is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cemex. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Triple exponential smoothing for Cemex SAB - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Cemex SAB prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Cemex SAB price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Cemex SAB de.

Cemex SAB Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cemex SAB de on the next trading day is expected to be 5.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cemex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cemex SAB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cemex SAB Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cemex SABCemex SAB Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cemex SAB Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cemex SAB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cemex SAB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.80 and 7.91, respectively. We have considered Cemex SAB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.36
5.35
Expected Value
7.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cemex SAB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cemex SAB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0263
MADMean absolute deviation0.1025
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0184
SAESum of the absolute errors6.0492
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Cemex SAB observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Cemex SAB de observations.

Predictive Modules for Cemex SAB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cemex SAB de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cemex SAB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.805.367.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.086.649.20
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.087.788.63
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.150.170.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cemex SAB

For every potential investor in Cemex, whether a beginner or expert, Cemex SAB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cemex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cemex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cemex SAB's price trends.

Cemex SAB Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cemex SAB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cemex SAB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cemex SAB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cemex SAB de Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cemex SAB's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cemex SAB's current price.

Cemex SAB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cemex SAB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cemex SAB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cemex SAB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cemex SAB de entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cemex SAB Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cemex SAB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cemex SAB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cemex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Cemex Stock Analysis

When running Cemex SAB's price analysis, check to measure Cemex SAB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cemex SAB is operating at the current time. Most of Cemex SAB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cemex SAB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cemex SAB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cemex SAB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.