Citizens Community Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CZWI Stock | USD 18.14 0.13 0.72% |
Citizens Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Citizens Community's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 31st of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Citizens Community's share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Citizens Community, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.642 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.37 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.75 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.13 | Wall Street Target Price 20 |
Using Citizens Community hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citizens Community Bancorp from the perspective of Citizens Community response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Citizens Community Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 18.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94. Citizens Community after-hype prediction price | USD 18.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citizens Community to cross-verify your projections. Citizens Community Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Citizens price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citizens using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citizens charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Citizens Community Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Citizens Community Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 18.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Citizens Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Citizens Community's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Citizens Community Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Citizens Community | Citizens Community Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Citizens Community Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Citizens Community's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Citizens Community's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.81 and 19.47, respectively. We have considered Citizens Community's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Citizens Community stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Citizens Community stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4654 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0504 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1989 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0113 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.935 |
Predictive Modules for Citizens Community
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citizens Community. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Citizens Community's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Citizens Community After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Citizens Community at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Citizens Community or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Citizens Community, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Citizens Community Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Citizens Community's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Citizens Community's historical news coverage. Citizens Community's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.77 and 19.43, respectively. We have considered Citizens Community's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Citizens Community is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citizens Community is based on 3 months time horizon.
Citizens Community Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Citizens Community is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citizens Community backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Citizens Community, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.33 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.14 | 18.10 | 0.22 |
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Citizens Community Hype Timeline
Citizens Community is currently traded for 18.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Citizens is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Citizens Community is about 2891.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.15. About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.92. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Citizens Community last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2026. The entity had 191:100 split on the 1st of November 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citizens Community to cross-verify your projections.Citizens Community Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Citizens Community's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Citizens Community's future price movements. Getting to know how Citizens Community's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Citizens Community may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UBFO | United Security Bancshares | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.71 | 0.15 | 3.15 | (1.38) | 5.92 | |
| HNVR | Hanover Bancorp | (0.11) | 26 per month | 0.91 | 0.10 | 2.54 | (2.05) | 7.48 | |
| PEBK | Peoples Bancorp of | (0.28) | 8 per month | 1.03 | 0.11 | 3.26 | (1.72) | 5.97 | |
| OVBC | Ohio Valley Banc | (0.22) | 8 per month | 0.88 | 0.11 | 3.03 | (2.03) | 9.11 | |
| BVFL | BV Financial Common | (0.02) | 6 per month | 1.40 | 0.1 | 2.87 | (2.59) | 9.13 | |
| MRBK | Meridian Bank | 0.29 | 7 per month | 1.04 | 0.14 | 4.14 | (2.24) | 9.93 | |
| CFBK | CF Bankshares | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.82 | 0.14 | 4.49 | (1.80) | 9.61 | |
| INBK | First Internet Bancorp | 0.41 | 6 per month | 2.41 | 0.05 | 4.81 | (4.74) | 15.47 | |
| LARK | Landmark Bancorp | 0.74 | 10 per month | 1.42 | 0.08 | 3.73 | (2.95) | 8.99 | |
| FNWD | Finward Bancorp | (0.34) | 9 per month | 1.51 | 0.05 | 3.98 | (2.31) | 9.57 |
Other Forecasting Options for Citizens Community
For every potential investor in Citizens, whether a beginner or expert, Citizens Community's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Citizens Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Citizens. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Citizens Community's price trends.Citizens Community Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Citizens Community stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Citizens Community could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Citizens Community by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Citizens Community Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Citizens Community stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Citizens Community shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Citizens Community stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Citizens Community Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Citizens Community Risk Indicators
The analysis of Citizens Community's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Citizens Community's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting citizens stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9615 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8703 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Variance | 1.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7573 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Citizens Community
The number of cover stories for Citizens Community depends on current market conditions and Citizens Community's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Citizens Community is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Citizens Community's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citizens Community to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is there potential for Regional Banks market expansion? Will Citizens introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Citizens Community. Projected growth potential of Citizens fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Citizens Community listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.642 | Dividend Share 0.36 | Earnings Share 1.46 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.098 |
Investors evaluate Citizens Community using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Citizens Community's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Citizens Community's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Citizens Community's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Citizens Community should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Citizens Community's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.