Dollar General Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| DG Stock | USD 141.78 3.26 2.25% |
Dollar Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dollar General's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Dollar General's share price is at 58 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Dollar General, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.438 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.5073 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.1289 | Wall Street Target Price 139.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.9306 |
Using Dollar General hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dollar General from the perspective of Dollar General response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dollar General using Dollar General's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dollar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dollar General's stock price.
Dollar General Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Dollar General's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Dollar. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Dollar General stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 111.1143 | Short Percent 0.0425 | Short Ratio 2.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.9 M | 50 Day MA 130.5058 |
Dollar Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Dollar General on the next trading day is expected to be 157.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 309.90.Dollar General Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Dollar General's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dollar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dollar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dollar General. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Dollar General's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Dollar General.
Dollar General Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
Dollar General's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dollar General stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dollar General's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dollar General stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dollar General's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Dollar General on the next trading day is expected to be 157.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 309.90. Dollar General after-hype prediction price | USD 141.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dollar General to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dollar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dollar General will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Dollar General trading at USD 141.78, that is roughly USD 0.0585 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dollar General's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dollar General options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Dollar Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Dollar General's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Dollar General's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Dollar General stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Dollar General's open interest, investors have to compare it to Dollar General's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Dollar General is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Dollar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Dollar General Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dollar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dollar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dollar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dollar General Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Dollar General on the next trading day is expected to be 157.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.00, mean absolute percentage error of 36.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 309.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dollar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dollar General's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dollar General Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dollar General | Dollar General Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Dollar General Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dollar General's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dollar General's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 154.36 and 159.99, respectively. We have considered Dollar General's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dollar General stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dollar General stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.5401 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.9985 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0403 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 309.9049 |
Predictive Modules for Dollar General
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dollar General. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dollar General After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dollar General at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dollar General or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dollar General, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dollar General Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dollar General's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dollar General's historical news coverage. Dollar General's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 138.99 and 144.57, respectively. We have considered Dollar General's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dollar General is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dollar General is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dollar General Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dollar General is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dollar General backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dollar General, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 2.82 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
141.78 | 141.78 | 0.00 |
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Dollar General Hype Timeline
As of January 30, 2026 Dollar General is listed for 141.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Dollar is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.64%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dollar General is about 2729.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 141.85. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Dollar General was currently reported as 37.19. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.7. Dollar General recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.78. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of January 2026. The firm had 1:4 split on the 9th of January 2020. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dollar General to cross-verify your projections.Dollar General Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dollar General's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dollar General's future price movements. Getting to know how Dollar General's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dollar General may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DLTR | Dollar Tree | (2.44) | 9 per month | 1.87 | 0.09 | 4.05 | (2.85) | 10.30 | |
| STZ | Constellation Brands Class | 4.07 | 8 per month | 1.25 | 0.08 | 3.59 | (2.20) | 7.18 | |
| CHD | Church Dwight | 0.63 | 8 per month | 1.19 | 0.04 | 2.33 | (1.92) | 10.66 | |
| BJ | BJs Wholesale Club | (1.15) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.90 | (2.72) | 7.84 | |
| TSN | Tyson Foods | (0.29) | 11 per month | 1.10 | 0.20 | 3.17 | (2.03) | 8.77 | |
| BG | Bunge Limited | (0.39) | 3 per month | 0.84 | 0.14 | 3.20 | (1.84) | 6.25 | |
| GIS | General Mills | (0.25) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.27 | (2.51) | 6.34 | |
| MKC | McCormick Company Incorporated | 1.14 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.52 | (2.42) | 10.75 | |
| FMX | Fomento Economico Mexicano | (0.39) | 6 per month | 0.99 | 0.10 | 2.37 | (1.88) | 7.81 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dollar General
For every potential investor in Dollar, whether a beginner or expert, Dollar General's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dollar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dollar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dollar General's price trends.Dollar General Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dollar General stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dollar General could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dollar General by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dollar General Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dollar General stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dollar General shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dollar General stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dollar General entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 86611.4 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.68) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 143.26 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 142.76 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.10) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.26) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.12 |
Dollar General Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dollar General's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dollar General's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dollar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Variance | 7.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.44 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.97) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dollar General
The number of cover stories for Dollar General depends on current market conditions and Dollar General's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dollar General is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dollar General's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dollar General Short Properties
Dollar General's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dollar General's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dollar General often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dollar General's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dollar General's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 220 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 932.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dollar General to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Dollar Stock please use our How to Invest in Dollar General guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Can Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry sustain growth momentum? Does Dollar have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dollar General. Projected growth potential of Dollar fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Dollar General demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.438 | Dividend Share 2.36 | Earnings Share 5.78 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.046 |
Investors evaluate Dollar General using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Dollar General's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Dollar General's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Dollar General's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Dollar General should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Dollar General's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.