Electronic Arts Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

EA Stock  USD 204.50  0.22  0.11%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Electronic Arts on the next trading day is expected to be 204.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.03. Electronic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Electronic Arts stock prices and determine the direction of Electronic Arts's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Electronic Arts' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Electronic Arts' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Electronic Arts' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Electronic Arts, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Electronic Arts' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.51)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.4056
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.1659
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.8527
Wall Street Target Price
202.3579
Using Electronic Arts hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Electronic Arts from the perspective of Electronic Arts response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Electronic Arts using Electronic Arts' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Electronic using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Electronic Arts' stock price.

Electronic Arts Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Electronic Arts' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Electronic. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Electronic Arts stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
171.5249
Short Percent
0.0297
Short Ratio
2.96
Shares Short Prior Month
3.8 M
50 Day MA
202.4546

Electronic Arts Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Electronic Arts' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Electronic. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Electronic can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Electronic Arts. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Electronic Arts' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Electronic Arts.

Electronic Arts Implied Volatility

    
  0.34  
Electronic Arts' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Electronic Arts stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Electronic Arts' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Electronic Arts stock will not fluctuate a lot when Electronic Arts' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Electronic Arts on the next trading day is expected to be 204.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.03.

Electronic Arts after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 204.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Electronic Arts to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Electronic Stock refer to our How to Trade Electronic Stock guide.At present, Electronic Arts' Inventory Turnover is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 1.01, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 9.02. . As of January 8, 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 302.7 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to decline to about 612.1 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Electronic Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Electronic Arts' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Electronic Arts' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Electronic Arts stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Electronic Arts' open interest, investors have to compare it to Electronic Arts' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Electronic Arts is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Electronic. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Electronic Arts Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Electronic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Electronic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Electronic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Electronic Arts Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Electronic Arts' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1989-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.1 B
Current Value
1.1 B
Quarterly Volatility
1.2 B
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Electronic Arts is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Electronic Arts value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Electronic Arts Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Electronic Arts on the next trading day is expected to be 204.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Electronic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Electronic Arts' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Electronic Arts Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Electronic ArtsElectronic Arts Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Electronic Arts Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Electronic Arts' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Electronic Arts' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 204.27 and 204.63, respectively. We have considered Electronic Arts' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
204.50
204.27
Downside
204.45
Expected Value
204.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Electronic Arts stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Electronic Arts stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1826
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.307
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0015
SAESum of the absolute errors19.0326
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Electronic Arts. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Electronic Arts. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Electronic Arts

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electronic Arts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
204.34204.52204.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
186.42186.60224.95
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
184.15202.36224.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.944.752.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Electronic Arts. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Electronic Arts' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Electronic Arts' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Electronic Arts.

Other Forecasting Options for Electronic Arts

For every potential investor in Electronic, whether a beginner or expert, Electronic Arts' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Electronic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Electronic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Electronic Arts' price trends.

Electronic Arts Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Electronic Arts stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Electronic Arts could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Electronic Arts by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Electronic Arts Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Electronic Arts' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Electronic Arts' current price.

Electronic Arts Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Electronic Arts stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Electronic Arts shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Electronic Arts stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Electronic Arts entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Electronic Arts Risk Indicators

The analysis of Electronic Arts' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Electronic Arts' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting electronic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Is Interactive Home Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Electronic Arts. If investors know Electronic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Electronic Arts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.51)
Dividend Share
0.76
Earnings Share
3.44
Revenue Per Share
28.58
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
The market value of Electronic Arts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Electronic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Electronic Arts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Electronic Arts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Electronic Arts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Electronic Arts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Electronic Arts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Electronic Arts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Electronic Arts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.