Electronic Arts Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| EA Stock | USD 204.40 0.40 0.20% |
Electronic Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Electronic Arts stock prices and determine the direction of Electronic Arts's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Electronic Arts' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Electronic Arts' share price is at 59 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Electronic Arts, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4056 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.1659 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.8527 | Wall Street Target Price 202.3579 |
Using Electronic Arts hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Electronic Arts from the perspective of Electronic Arts response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Electronic Arts using Electronic Arts' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Electronic using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Electronic Arts' stock price.
Electronic Arts Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Electronic Arts' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Electronic. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Electronic Arts stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 175.1877 | Short Percent 0.0371 | Short Ratio 4.26 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.5 M | 50 Day MA 203.353 |
Electronic Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Electronic Arts on the next trading day is expected to be 204.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.35.Electronic Arts Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Electronic Arts' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Electronic. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Electronic can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Electronic Arts. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Electronic Arts' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Electronic Arts.
Electronic Arts Implied Volatility | 0.41 |
Electronic Arts' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Electronic Arts stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Electronic Arts' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Electronic Arts stock will not fluctuate a lot when Electronic Arts' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Electronic Arts on the next trading day is expected to be 204.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.35. Electronic Arts after-hype prediction price | USD 204.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Electronic contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Electronic Arts will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Electronic Arts trading at USD 204.4, that is roughly USD 0.0524 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Electronic Arts' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Electronic Arts options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Electronic Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Electronic Arts' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Electronic Arts' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Electronic Arts stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Electronic Arts' open interest, investors have to compare it to Electronic Arts' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Electronic Arts is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Electronic. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Electronic Arts Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Electronic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Electronic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Electronic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Electronic Arts Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Electronic Arts on the next trading day is expected to be 204.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Electronic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Electronic Arts' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Electronic Arts Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Electronic Arts | Electronic Arts Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Electronic Arts Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Electronic Arts' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Electronic Arts' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 204.22 and 204.58, respectively. We have considered Electronic Arts' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Electronic Arts stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Electronic Arts stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.282 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0732 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2892 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0014 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.35 |
Predictive Modules for Electronic Arts
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electronic Arts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Electronic Arts After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Electronic Arts at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Electronic Arts or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Electronic Arts, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Electronic Arts Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Electronic Arts' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Electronic Arts' historical news coverage. Electronic Arts' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 204.23 and 204.59, respectively. We have considered Electronic Arts' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Electronic Arts is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Electronic Arts is based on 3 months time horizon.
Electronic Arts Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Electronic Arts is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Electronic Arts backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Electronic Arts, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.18 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
204.40 | 204.41 | 0.00 |
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Electronic Arts Hype Timeline
As of January 27, 2026 Electronic Arts is listed for 204.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Electronic is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 120.0%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Electronic Arts is about 17.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 204.44. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.08. Electronic Arts last dividend was issued on the 3rd of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 18th of November 2003. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Electronic Arts to cross-verify your projections.Electronic Arts Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Electronic Arts' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Electronic Arts' future price movements. Getting to know how Electronic Arts' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Electronic Arts may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TTWO | Take Two Interactive Software | (2.94) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.27 | (1.73) | 9.50 | |
| UI | Ubiquiti Networks | (6.17) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.19 | (4.07) | 22.82 | |
| MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | 11.42 | 9 per month | 2.76 | 0 | 3.91 | (4.47) | 14.52 | |
| NXPI | NXP Semiconductors NV | 0.10 | 10 per month | 1.83 | 0 | 3.89 | (3.09) | 12.56 | |
| WDC | Western Digital | 2.17 | 8 per month | 3.06 | 0.23 | 8.75 | (5.90) | 25.65 | |
| CLS | Celestica | 0.03 | 7 per month | 4.99 | 0.06 | 6.99 | (7.56) | 27.95 | |
| STX | Seagate Technology PLC | 3.00 | 7 per month | 3.31 | 0.17 | 6.87 | (6.71) | 26.83 | |
| XYZ | Block Inc | (0.62) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.96 | (5.03) | 14.15 | |
| FICO | Fair Isaac | 0.81 | 8 per month | 2.13 | (0.03) | 3.93 | (3.16) | 9.68 | |
| GRMN | Garmin | 2.47 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.07 | (2.42) | 12.54 |
Other Forecasting Options for Electronic Arts
For every potential investor in Electronic, whether a beginner or expert, Electronic Arts' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Electronic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Electronic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Electronic Arts' price trends.Electronic Arts Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Electronic Arts stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Electronic Arts could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Electronic Arts by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Electronic Arts Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Electronic Arts stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Electronic Arts shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Electronic Arts stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Electronic Arts entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Electronic Arts Risk Indicators
The analysis of Electronic Arts' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Electronic Arts' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting electronic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1376 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1762 | |||
| Variance | 0.031 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.024 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.01) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Electronic Arts
The number of cover stories for Electronic Arts depends on current market conditions and Electronic Arts' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Electronic Arts is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Electronic Arts' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Electronic Arts Short Properties
Electronic Arts' future price predictability will typically decrease when Electronic Arts' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Electronic Arts often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Electronic Arts' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Electronic Arts' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 264 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Electronic Arts to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Electronic Stock refer to our How to Trade Electronic Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Interactive Home Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Electronic Arts. If investors know Electronic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Electronic Arts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | Dividend Share 0.76 | Earnings Share 3.43 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Electronic Arts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Electronic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Electronic Arts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Electronic Arts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Electronic Arts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Electronic Arts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Electronic Arts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Electronic Arts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Electronic Arts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.