Electronic Arts Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

EA Stock  USD 129.40  0.42  0.32%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Electronic Arts on the next trading day is expected to be 129.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 123.93. Electronic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Electronic Arts stock prices and determine the direction of Electronic Arts's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Electronic Arts' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Electronic Arts' Inventory Turnover is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 1.01, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 8.93. . As of February 16, 2025, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 303 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to decline to about 612.1 M.

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 Electronic Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Electronic Arts' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Electronic Arts' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Electronic Arts stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Electronic Arts' open interest, investors have to compare it to Electronic Arts' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Electronic Arts is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Electronic. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Triple exponential smoothing for Electronic Arts - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Electronic Arts prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Electronic Arts price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Electronic Arts.

Electronic Arts Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Electronic Arts on the next trading day is expected to be 129.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.10, mean absolute percentage error of 15.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 123.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Electronic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Electronic Arts' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Electronic Arts Stock Forecast Pattern

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Electronic Arts Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Electronic Arts' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Electronic Arts' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 126.63 and 131.92, respectively. We have considered Electronic Arts' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
129.40
126.63
Downside
129.28
Expected Value
131.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Electronic Arts stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Electronic Arts stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4041
MADMean absolute deviation2.1005
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0154
SAESum of the absolute errors123.9304
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Electronic Arts observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Electronic Arts observations.

Predictive Modules for Electronic Arts

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electronic Arts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
127.57130.22132.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
116.46145.77148.42
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
147.54162.13179.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.961.031.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Electronic Arts. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Electronic Arts' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Electronic Arts' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Electronic Arts.

Other Forecasting Options for Electronic Arts

For every potential investor in Electronic, whether a beginner or expert, Electronic Arts' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Electronic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Electronic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Electronic Arts' price trends.

Electronic Arts Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Electronic Arts stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Electronic Arts could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Electronic Arts by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Electronic Arts Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Electronic Arts' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Electronic Arts' current price.

Electronic Arts Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Electronic Arts stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Electronic Arts shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Electronic Arts stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Electronic Arts entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Electronic Arts Risk Indicators

The analysis of Electronic Arts' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Electronic Arts' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting electronic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Electronic Arts to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Electronic Stock refer to our How to Trade Electronic Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Interactive Home Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Electronic Arts. If investors know Electronic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Electronic Arts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.037
Dividend Share
0.76
Earnings Share
3.93
Revenue Per Share
27.751
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Electronic Arts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Electronic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Electronic Arts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Electronic Arts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Electronic Arts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Electronic Arts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Electronic Arts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Electronic Arts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Electronic Arts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.