ELF Beauty Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
| ELF Stock | USD 94.16 0.55 0.59% |
ELF Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ELF Beauty's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of ELF Beauty's share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ELF Beauty, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.0198 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.8575 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.4935 | Wall Street Target Price 112.4286 |
Using ELF Beauty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ELF Beauty from the perspective of ELF Beauty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ELF Beauty using ELF Beauty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ELF using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ELF Beauty's stock price.
ELF Beauty Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in ELF Beauty's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ELF. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ELF Beauty stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 102.4274 | Short Percent 0.159 | Short Ratio 4.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.2 M | 50 Day MA 79.5392 |
ELF Relative Strength Index
ELF Beauty Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ELF Beauty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ELF. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ELF can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ELF Beauty. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ELF Beauty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ELF Beauty.
ELF Beauty Implied Volatility | 0.82 |
ELF Beauty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ELF Beauty stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ELF Beauty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ELF Beauty stock will not fluctuate a lot when ELF Beauty's options are near their expiration.
ELF Beauty after-hype prediction price | USD 94.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ELF Beauty to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ELF contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ELF Beauty will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0513% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With ELF Beauty trading at USD 94.16, that is roughly USD 0.0483 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ELF Beauty's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ELF Beauty options at the current volatility level of 0.82%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 ELF Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ELF Beauty's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ELF Beauty's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ELF Beauty stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ELF Beauty's open interest, investors have to compare it to ELF Beauty's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ELF Beauty is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ELF. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
ELF Beauty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ELF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ELF using various technical indicators. When you analyze ELF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (0.24) | (0.24) |
| Check ELF Beauty Volatility | Backtest ELF Beauty | Information Ratio |
ELF Beauty Trading Date Momentum
| On January 26 2026 ELF Beauty was traded for 94.16 at the closing time. Highest ELF Beauty's price during the trading hours was 96.41 and the lowest price during the day was 92.94 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 26th of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.58% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare ELF Beauty to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for ELF Beauty
For every potential investor in ELF, whether a beginner or expert, ELF Beauty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ELF Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ELF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ELF Beauty's price trends.ELF Beauty Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ELF Beauty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ELF Beauty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ELF Beauty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ELF Beauty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ELF Beauty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ELF Beauty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ELF Beauty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ELF Beauty entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ELF Beauty Risk Indicators
The analysis of ELF Beauty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ELF Beauty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting elf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.12 | |||
| Variance | 26.17 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ELF Beauty
The number of cover stories for ELF Beauty depends on current market conditions and ELF Beauty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ELF Beauty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ELF Beauty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ELF Beauty Short Properties
ELF Beauty's future price predictability will typically decrease when ELF Beauty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ELF Beauty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ELF Beauty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ELF Beauty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 148.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ELF Beauty to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in ELF Stock please use our How to Invest in ELF Beauty guide.You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ELF Beauty. If investors know ELF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ELF Beauty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | Earnings Share 1.4 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.142 | Return On Assets |
The market value of ELF Beauty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ELF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ELF Beauty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ELF Beauty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ELF Beauty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ELF Beauty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ELF Beauty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ELF Beauty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ELF Beauty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.