EOG Resources Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

EOG Stock  USD 102.55  2.45  2.33%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of EOG Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 106.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.22. EOG Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of EOG Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of January 2026 the value of relative strength index of EOG Resources' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of EOG Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of EOG Resources and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from EOG Resources' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with EOG Resources, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting EOG Resources' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.312
EPS Estimate Current Year
10.2051
EPS Estimate Next Year
10.3092
Wall Street Target Price
135.3623
Using EOG Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EOG Resources from the perspective of EOG Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards EOG Resources using EOG Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards EOG using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of EOG Resources' stock price.

EOG Resources Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in EOG Resources' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards EOG. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of EOG Resources stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
114.0108
Short Percent
0.0265
Short Ratio
4.06
Shares Short Prior Month
14 M
50 Day MA
106.8312

EOG Resources Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to EOG Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in EOG. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding EOG can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around EOG Resources. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of EOG Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about EOG Resources.

EOG Resources Implied Volatility

    
  0.45  
EOG Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of EOG Resources stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if EOG Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that EOG Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when EOG Resources' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of EOG Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 106.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.22.

EOG Resources after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 102.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EOG Resources to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in EOG Stock please use our How to Invest in EOG Resources guide.The EOG Resources' current Inventory Turnover is estimated to increase to 10.03, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 1.29. . The EOG Resources' current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 7.7 B, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to roughly 444.2 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 EOG Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast EOG Resources' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in EOG Resources' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for EOG Resources stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current EOG Resources' open interest, investors have to compare it to EOG Resources' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of EOG Resources is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in EOG. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

EOG Resources Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine EOG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EOG using various technical indicators. When you analyze EOG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

EOG Resources Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the EOG Resources' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1989-12-31
Previous Quarter
5.2 B
Current Value
3.5 B
Quarterly Volatility
1.7 B
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for EOG Resources is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of EOG Resources value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

EOG Resources Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of EOG Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 106.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.50, mean absolute percentage error of 3.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EOG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EOG Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EOG Resources Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest EOG ResourcesEOG Resources Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

EOG Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EOG Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EOG Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 104.85 and 107.46, respectively. We have considered EOG Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
102.55
104.85
Downside
106.16
Expected Value
107.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EOG Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EOG Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.198
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.5035
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0141
SAESum of the absolute errors93.2199
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of EOG Resources. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict EOG Resources. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for EOG Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EOG Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.21102.52103.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.30120.06121.37
Details
33 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
123.18135.36150.25
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.452.552.73
Details

Other Forecasting Options for EOG Resources

For every potential investor in EOG, whether a beginner or expert, EOG Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EOG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EOG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EOG Resources' price trends.

EOG Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EOG Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EOG Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EOG Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EOG Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of EOG Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of EOG Resources' current price.

EOG Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EOG Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EOG Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EOG Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EOG Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

EOG Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of EOG Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EOG Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eog stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether EOG Resources is a strong investment it is important to analyze EOG Resources' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact EOG Resources' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding EOG Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EOG Resources to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in EOG Stock please use our How to Invest in EOG Resources guide.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EOG Resources. If investors know EOG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EOG Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
Dividend Share
3.945
Earnings Share
9.83
Revenue Per Share
41.339
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of EOG Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EOG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EOG Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EOG Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EOG Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EOG Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EOG Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EOG Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EOG Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.