FNB Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| FNB Stock | USD 17.11 0.89 4.94% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of FNB Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.29. FNB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast FNB Corp stock prices and determine the direction of FNB Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of FNB Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of FNB Corp's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.565 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3786 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7267 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.9367 | Wall Street Target Price 19.8125 |
Using FNB Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FNB Corp from the perspective of FNB Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards FNB Corp using FNB Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FNB using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of FNB Corp's stock price.
FNB Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in FNB Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards FNB. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of FNB Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 15.4807 | Short Percent 0.0449 | Short Ratio 2.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 17.4 M | 50 Day MA 17.0018 |
FNB Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to FNB Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FNB. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FNB can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FNB Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
FNB Corp Implied Volatility | 1.03 |
FNB Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FNB Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FNB Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FNB Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when FNB Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of FNB Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.29. FNB Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 17.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FNB Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FNB contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that FNB Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0644% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With FNB Corp trading at USD 17.11, that is roughly USD 0.011 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating FNB Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring FNB Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.03%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 FNB Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast FNB Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in FNB Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for FNB Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current FNB Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to FNB Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of FNB Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in FNB. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
FNB Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FNB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FNB using various technical indicators. When you analyze FNB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FNB Corp Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the FNB Corp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1990-03-31 | Previous Quarter 2.4 B | Current Value 2.5 B | Quarterly Volatility 814.5 M |
FNB Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of FNB Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FNB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FNB Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FNB Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FNB Corp | FNB Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
FNB Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FNB Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FNB Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.38 and 19.16, respectively. We have considered FNB Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FNB Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FNB Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4368 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2015 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0121 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.2941 |
Predictive Modules for FNB Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FNB Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FNB Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FNB Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FNB Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FNB Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FNB Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FNB Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FNB Corp's historical news coverage. FNB Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.75 and 18.55, respectively. We have considered FNB Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FNB Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FNB Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
FNB Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FNB Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FNB Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FNB Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.39 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.11 | 17.15 | 0.23 |
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FNB Corp Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January FNB Corp is traded for 17.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. FNB is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on FNB Corp is about 222.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.21. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.69 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 565.39 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.68 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FNB Corp to cross-verify your projections.FNB Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FNB Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FNB Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how FNB Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FNB Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IFS | Intercorp Financial Services | 0.34 | 9 per month | 1.38 | 0.09 | 3.68 | (2.88) | 5.62 | |
| ABCB | Ameris Bancorp | 2.04 | 29 per month | 1.08 | 0.07 | 2.71 | (1.87) | 5.50 | |
| UBSI | United Bankshares | 0.48 | 10 per month | 1.01 | 0.11 | 3.05 | (1.94) | 8.03 | |
| AVAL | Grupo Aval | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.38 | 0.17 | 2.79 | (2.90) | 7.37 | |
| OZK | Bank Ozk | 1.30 | 9 per month | 1.30 | (0.04) | 2.43 | (2.13) | 6.11 | |
| GBCI | Glacier Bancorp | (0.16) | 22 per month | 1.61 | 0.05 | 3.25 | (1.94) | 8.19 | |
| HOMB | Home BancShares | (0.04) | 9 per month | 1.13 | (0) | 2.16 | (1.75) | 5.65 | |
| AUB | Atlantic Union Bankshares | 0.24 | 18 per month | 1.16 | 0.08 | 3.79 | (2.02) | 7.84 | |
| IBOC | International Bancshares | 1.42 | 28 per month | 1.43 | (0.02) | 2.75 | (2.10) | 7.54 |
Other Forecasting Options for FNB Corp
For every potential investor in FNB, whether a beginner or expert, FNB Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FNB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FNB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FNB Corp's price trends.FNB Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FNB Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FNB Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FNB Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FNB Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FNB Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FNB Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FNB Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FNB Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
FNB Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of FNB Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FNB Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fnb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9763 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Variance | 1.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.87 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FNB Corp
The number of cover stories for FNB Corp depends on current market conditions and FNB Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FNB Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FNB Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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FNB Corp Short Properties
FNB Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when FNB Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FNB Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FNB Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FNB Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 362 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FNB Corp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade FNB Stock refer to our How to Trade FNB Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FNB Corp. If investors know FNB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FNB Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.565 | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 1.56 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.264 |
The market value of FNB Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FNB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FNB Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FNB Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FNB Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FNB Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FNB Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FNB Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FNB Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.