First Niles Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

First Niles Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A two period moving average forecast for First Niles is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

First Niles Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of First Niles Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 8.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.17.

First Niles Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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First Niles Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Niles pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Niles pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of First Niles Financial price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of First Niles. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for First Niles

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Niles Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 5.42 8.04 10.66 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 4.13 6.75 9.37 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 7.55 7.88 8.22 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Niles. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Niles' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Niles' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Niles Financial.

First Niles After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

First Niles Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

First Niles Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

First Niles Hype Timeline

First Niles Financial is currently traded for 8.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Niles is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.04. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of December 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Niles to cross-verify your projections.

First Niles Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for First Niles

For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Niles' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Niles' price trends.

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