Federal Signal Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
| FSS Stock | USD 111.95 2.80 2.44% |
Federal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Federal Signal's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.276 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.02 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.15 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.62 | Wall Street Target Price 133.8333 |
Using Federal Signal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Federal Signal from the perspective of Federal Signal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Federal Signal using Federal Signal's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Federal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Federal Signal's stock price.
Federal Signal Short Interest
An investor who is long Federal Signal may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Federal Signal and may potentially protect profits, hedge Federal Signal with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 109.4289 | Short Percent 0.0842 | Short Ratio 6.13 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.9 M | 50 Day MA 111.976 |
Federal Signal Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Federal Signal's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Federal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Federal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Federal Signal. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Federal Signal Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Federal Signal's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Federal Signal stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Federal Signal's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Federal Signal stock will not fluctuate a lot when Federal Signal's options are near their expiration.
Federal Signal after-hype prediction price | USD 111.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Federal Signal to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Federal contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Federal Signal will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Federal Signal trading at USD 111.95, that is roughly USD 0.035 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Federal Signal's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Federal Signal options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Federal Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Federal Signal's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Federal Signal's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Federal Signal stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Federal Signal's open interest, investors have to compare it to Federal Signal's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Federal Signal is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Federal. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Federal Signal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Federal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Federal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Federal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (2.29) | (2.31) |
| Check Federal Signal Volatility | Backtest Federal Signal | Information Ratio |
Federal Signal Trading Date Momentum
| On January 25 2026 Federal Signal was traded for 111.95 at the closing time. Highest Federal Signal's price during the trading hours was 114.71 and the lowest price during the day was 111.01 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 25th of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 2.47% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Federal Signal to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Federal Signal
For every potential investor in Federal, whether a beginner or expert, Federal Signal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Federal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Federal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Federal Signal's price trends.Federal Signal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Federal Signal stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Federal Signal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Federal Signal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Federal Signal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Federal Signal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Federal Signal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Federal Signal stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Federal Signal entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0323 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.76) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 112.86 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 112.56 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.7 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.31) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.80) |
Federal Signal Risk Indicators
The analysis of Federal Signal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Federal Signal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting federal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Variance | 3.64 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Federal Signal
The number of cover stories for Federal Signal depends on current market conditions and Federal Signal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Federal Signal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Federal Signal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Federal Signal Short Properties
Federal Signal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Federal Signal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Federal Signal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Federal Signal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal Signal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 91.1 M |
Additional Tools for Federal Stock Analysis
When running Federal Signal's price analysis, check to measure Federal Signal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Signal is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Signal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Signal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Signal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Signal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.