Futu Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

FUTU Stock  USD 174.05  10.03  5.45%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Futu Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 174.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 233.60. Futu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Futu Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Futu Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Futu Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Futu Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Futu Holdings from the perspective of Futu Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Futu Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 174.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 233.60.

Futu Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 177.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Futu Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Futu Stock please use our How to Invest in Futu Holdings guide.

Futu Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Futu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Futu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Futu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Futu Holdings is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Futu Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Futu Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 174.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.96, mean absolute percentage error of 37.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 233.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Futu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Futu Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Futu Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Futu Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Futu Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Futu Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 170.88 and 177.22, respectively. We have considered Futu Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
174.05
170.88
Downside
174.05
Expected Value
177.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Futu Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Futu Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0499
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1348
MADMean absolute deviation3.9592
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0227
SAESum of the absolute errors233.595
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Futu Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Futu Holdings. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Futu Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Futu Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Futu Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
173.90177.09180.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
159.47188.23191.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Futu Holdings

For every potential investor in Futu, whether a beginner or expert, Futu Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Futu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Futu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Futu Holdings' price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Futu Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Futu Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Futu Holdings' current price.

Futu Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Futu Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Futu Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Futu Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Futu Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Futu Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Futu Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Futu Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting futu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Futu Stock Analysis

When running Futu Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Futu Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Futu Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Futu Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Futu Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Futu Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Futu Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.