Futu Holdings Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| FUTU Stock | USD 151.49 1.53 1.02% |
Futu Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Futu Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.415 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 20.551 | EPS Estimate Current Year 78.6581 | EPS Estimate Next Year 89.5866 | Wall Street Target Price 231.9717 |
Using Futu Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Futu Holdings from the perspective of Futu Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Futu Holdings using Futu Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Futu using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Futu Holdings' stock price.
Futu Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Futu Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Futu Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Futu Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 154.2204 | Short Percent 0.0894 | Short Ratio 4.36 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.7 M | 50 Day MA 168.7941 |
Futu Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Futu Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 163.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 394.80.Futu Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Futu Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Futu. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Futu can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Futu Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Futu Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Futu Holdings.
Futu Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Futu Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Futu Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Futu Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Futu Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Futu Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Futu Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 163.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 394.80. Futu Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 150.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Futu Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Futu contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Futu Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Futu Holdings trading at USD 151.49, that is roughly USD 0.0473 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Futu Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Futu Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Futu Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Futu Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Futu Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Futu Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Futu Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Futu Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Futu Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Futu. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Futu Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Futu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Futu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Futu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Futu Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Futu Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 163.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.37, mean absolute percentage error of 65.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 394.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Futu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Futu Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Futu Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Futu Holdings | Futu Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Futu Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Futu Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Futu Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 160.45 and 165.94, respectively. We have considered Futu Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Futu Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Futu Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.1323 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.3678 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0375 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 394.8034 |
Predictive Modules for Futu Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Futu Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Futu Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Futu Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Futu Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Futu Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Futu Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Futu Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Futu Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Futu Holdings' historical news coverage. Futu Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 147.29 and 152.77, respectively. We have considered Futu Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Futu Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Futu Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Futu Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Futu Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Futu Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Futu Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 2.74 | 1.46 | 0.14 | 10 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
151.49 | 150.03 | 0.96 |
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Futu Holdings Hype Timeline
Futu Holdings is currently traded for 151.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.46, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Futu is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 150.03. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 58.3%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.96%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Futu Holdings is about 604.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 151.63. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Futu Holdings was currently reported as 33.48. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.91. Futu Holdings last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Futu Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Futu Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Futu Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Futu Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Futu Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Futu Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Other Forecasting Options for Futu Holdings
For every potential investor in Futu, whether a beginner or expert, Futu Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Futu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Futu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Futu Holdings' price trends.View Futu Holdings Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Futu Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Futu Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Futu Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Futu Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Futu Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 37204.7 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4766 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 151.83 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 151.72 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.42 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.53 |
Futu Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Futu Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Futu Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting futu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.86 | |||
| Variance | 8.2 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Futu Holdings
The number of cover stories for Futu Holdings depends on current market conditions and Futu Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Futu Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Futu Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Futu Holdings Short Properties
Futu Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Futu Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Futu Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Futu Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Futu Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 140.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.4 B |
Additional Tools for Futu Stock Analysis
When running Futu Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Futu Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Futu Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Futu Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Futu Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Futu Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Futu Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.