Glacier Bancorp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GBCI Stock  USD 46.53  0.71  1.50%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Glacier Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 46.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.75. Glacier Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Glacier Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Glacier Bancorp's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Glacier Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Glacier Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Glacier Bancorp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.267
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.65
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.2367
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.1517
Wall Street Target Price
53.3333
Using Glacier Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Glacier Bancorp from the perspective of Glacier Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Glacier Bancorp using Glacier Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Glacier using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Glacier Bancorp's stock price.

Glacier Bancorp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Glacier Bancorp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Glacier. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Glacier Bancorp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
44.1378
Short Percent
0.0456
Short Ratio
6.54
Shares Short Prior Month
1.9 M
50 Day MA
43.1252

Glacier Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Glacier Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Glacier. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Glacier can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Glacier Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Glacier Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Glacier Bancorp.

Glacier Bancorp Implied Volatility

    
  0.52  
Glacier Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Glacier Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Glacier Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Glacier Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Glacier Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Glacier Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 46.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.75.

Glacier Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 46.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Glacier Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Glacier Stock please use our How to Invest in Glacier Bancorp guide.As of now, Glacier Bancorp's Fixed Asset Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The Glacier Bancorp's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.07, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 15.64. . The Glacier Bancorp's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 136.7 M. The Glacier Bancorp's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 366.1 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Glacier Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Glacier Bancorp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Glacier Bancorp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Glacier Bancorp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Glacier Bancorp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Glacier Bancorp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Glacier Bancorp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Glacier. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Glacier Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Glacier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Glacier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Glacier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Glacier Bancorp Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Glacier Bancorp's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1991-03-31
Previous Quarter
915.5 M
Current Value
854.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
306.5 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Glacier Bancorp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Glacier Bancorp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Glacier Bancorp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Glacier Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 46.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 0.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Glacier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Glacier Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Glacier Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Glacier BancorpGlacier Bancorp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Glacier Bancorp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Glacier Bancorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Glacier Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.27 and 48.30, respectively. We have considered Glacier Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
46.53
46.28
Expected Value
48.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Glacier Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Glacier Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.8312
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7863
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0182
SAESum of the absolute errors48.7514
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Glacier Bancorp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Glacier Bancorp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Glacier Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Glacier Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Glacier Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.5146.5348.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.8849.3751.39
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
48.5353.3359.20
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.670.680.73
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Glacier Bancorp

For every potential investor in Glacier, whether a beginner or expert, Glacier Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Glacier Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Glacier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Glacier Bancorp's price trends.

Glacier Bancorp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Glacier Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Glacier Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Glacier Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Glacier Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Glacier Bancorp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Glacier Bancorp's current price.

Glacier Bancorp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Glacier Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Glacier Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Glacier Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Glacier Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Glacier Bancorp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Glacier Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Glacier Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting glacier stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Glacier Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Glacier Bancorp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Glacier Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Glacier Bancorp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Glacier Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Glacier Stock please use our How to Invest in Glacier Bancorp guide.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Glacier Bancorp. If investors know Glacier will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Glacier Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.267
Dividend Share
1.32
Earnings Share
2.02
Revenue Per Share
7.788
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.219
The market value of Glacier Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Glacier that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Glacier Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Glacier Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Glacier Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Glacier Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Glacier Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Glacier Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Glacier Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.