Green Dot Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GDOT Stock  USD 12.60  0.21  1.64%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Green Dot on the next trading day is expected to be 12.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.14. Green Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Green Dot's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Green Dot's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Green Dot, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Green Dot's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.239
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.02)
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.3933
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.49
Wall Street Target Price
16.125
Using Green Dot hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Green Dot from the perspective of Green Dot response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Green Dot using Green Dot's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Green using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Green Dot's stock price.

Green Dot Short Interest

An investor who is long Green Dot may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Green Dot and may potentially protect profits, hedge Green Dot with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
11.1526
Short Percent
0.0274
Short Ratio
1.21
Shares Short Prior Month
1.6 M
50 Day MA
12.3618

Green Dot Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Green Dot's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Green. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Green can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Green Dot. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Green Dot's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Green Dot.

Green Dot Implied Volatility

    
  1.32  
Green Dot's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Green Dot stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Green Dot's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Green Dot stock will not fluctuate a lot when Green Dot's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Green Dot on the next trading day is expected to be 12.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.14.

Green Dot after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Green Dot to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Green Stock please use our How to Invest in Green Dot guide.At this time, Green Dot's Fixed Asset Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 0.70 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 7.42 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 51.1 M in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 56.6 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Green Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Green Dot's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Green Dot's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Green Dot stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Green Dot's open interest, investors have to compare it to Green Dot's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Green Dot is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Green. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Green Dot Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Green price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Green using various technical indicators. When you analyze Green charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Green Dot's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2008-06-30
Previous Quarter
2.3 B
Current Value
1.6 B
Quarterly Volatility
615.6 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Green Dot is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Green Dot value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Green Dot Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Green Dot on the next trading day is expected to be 12.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Green Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Green Dot's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Green Dot Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Green DotGreen Dot Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Green Dot Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Green Dot's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Green Dot's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.13 and 14.59, respectively. We have considered Green Dot's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.60
12.36
Expected Value
14.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Green Dot stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Green Dot stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2776
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3138
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0257
SAESum of the absolute errors19.1398
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Green Dot. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Green Dot. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Green Dot

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Green Dot. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3712.6014.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1112.3414.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.6812.7713.86
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.6716.1217.90
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Green Dot

For every potential investor in Green, whether a beginner or expert, Green Dot's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Green Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Green. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Green Dot's price trends.

Green Dot Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Green Dot stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Green Dot could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Green Dot by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Green Dot Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Green Dot's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Green Dot's current price.

Green Dot Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Green Dot stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Green Dot shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Green Dot stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Green Dot entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Green Dot Risk Indicators

The analysis of Green Dot's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Green Dot's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting green stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Green Stock Analysis

When running Green Dot's price analysis, check to measure Green Dot's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Green Dot is operating at the current time. Most of Green Dot's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Green Dot's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Green Dot's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Green Dot to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.