Globe Life Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GL Stock | USD 136.50 1.81 1.31% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Globe Life on the next trading day is expected to be 135.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.07. Globe Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Globe Life's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Globe Life's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Globe Life fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Globe Life's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.375 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.5413 | EPS Estimate Current Year 14.575 | EPS Estimate Next Year 15.0265 | Wall Street Target Price 168.7 |
Using Globe Life hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Globe Life from the perspective of Globe Life response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Globe Life using Globe Life's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Globe using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Globe Life's stock price.
Globe Life Short Interest
An investor who is long Globe Life may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Globe Life and may potentially protect profits, hedge Globe Life with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 131.6109 | Short Percent 0.0205 | Short Ratio 2.77 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 137.0034 |
Globe Life Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Globe Life's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Globe. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Globe can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Globe Life. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Globe Life Implied Volatility | 0.32 |
Globe Life's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Globe Life stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Globe Life's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Globe Life stock will not fluctuate a lot when Globe Life's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Globe Life on the next trading day is expected to be 135.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.07. Globe Life after-hype prediction price | USD 136.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globe Life to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Globe contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Globe Life will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.02% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Globe Life trading at USD 136.5, that is roughly USD 0.0273 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Globe Life's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Globe Life options at the current volatility level of 0.32%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Globe Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Globe Life's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Globe Life's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Globe Life stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Globe Life's open interest, investors have to compare it to Globe Life's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Globe Life is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Globe. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Globe Life Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Globe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Globe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Globe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Globe Life Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Globe Life's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 1994-03-31 | Previous Quarter 239.1 M | Current Value 302.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 74.1 M |
Globe Life Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Globe Life on the next trading day is expected to be 135.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38, mean absolute percentage error of 2.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Globe Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Globe Life's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Globe Life Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Globe Life | Globe Life Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Globe Life Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Globe Life's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Globe Life's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 134.90 and 137.01, respectively. We have considered Globe Life's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Globe Life stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Globe Life stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.1744 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3782 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0101 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 84.068 |
Predictive Modules for Globe Life
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Globe Life. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Globe Life After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Globe Life at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Globe Life or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Globe Life, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Globe Life Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Globe Life's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Globe Life's historical news coverage. Globe Life's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 135.41 and 137.53, respectively. We have considered Globe Life's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Globe Life is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Globe Life is based on 3 months time horizon.
Globe Life Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Globe Life is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Globe Life backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Globe Life, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.05 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
136.50 | 136.47 | 0.02 |
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Globe Life Hype Timeline
As of January 25, 2026 Globe Life is listed for 136.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Globe is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 136.47. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 100.0%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Globe Life is about 154.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 136.48. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.91. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Globe Life has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.97. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.79. The firm last dividend was issued on the 5th of January 2026. Globe Life had 3:2 split on the 2nd of July 2014. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globe Life to cross-verify your projections.Globe Life Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Globe Life's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Globe Life's future price movements. Getting to know how Globe Life's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Globe Life may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNC | Lincoln National | (0.40) | 9 per month | 1.72 | 0 | 2.74 | (3.34) | 8.21 | |
| AFL | Aflac Incorporated | (0.60) | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.77 | (1.58) | 4.04 | |
| MFC | Manulife Financial Corp | (0.32) | 31 per month | 0.69 | 0.16 | 1.96 | (1.61) | 4.84 | |
| PRU | Prudential Financial | (1.33) | 10 per month | 1.16 | 0.03 | 2.00 | (1.20) | 7.14 | |
| JXN | Jackson Financial | (0.28) | 4 per month | 1.63 | 0.10 | 2.64 | (2.37) | 9.11 | |
| CNO | CNO Financial Group | 0.38 | 9 per month | 1.22 | (0.01) | 2.09 | (1.93) | 7.94 | |
| BHFAP | Brighthouse Financial | 0.31 | 31 per month | 1.32 | 0.01 | 1.87 | (2.36) | 16.57 | |
| PUK | Prudential PLC ADR | (3.19) | 23 per month | 0.83 | 0.15 | 1.84 | (1.64) | 5.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Globe Life
For every potential investor in Globe, whether a beginner or expert, Globe Life's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Globe Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Globe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Globe Life's price trends.Globe Life Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Globe Life stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Globe Life could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Globe Life by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Globe Life Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Globe Life stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Globe Life shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Globe Life stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Globe Life entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0188 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.70) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 136.72 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 136.65 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.12) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.81) |
Globe Life Risk Indicators
The analysis of Globe Life's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Globe Life's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting globe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8183 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9113 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Variance | 1.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9029 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8304 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.92) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Globe Life
The number of cover stories for Globe Life depends on current market conditions and Globe Life's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Globe Life is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Globe Life's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Globe Life Short Properties
Globe Life's future price predictability will typically decrease when Globe Life's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Globe Life often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Globe Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Globe Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 84.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.4 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globe Life to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Globe Stock please use our How to buy in Globe Stock guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Globe Life. If investors know Globe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Globe Life listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.375 | Dividend Share 1.05 | Earnings Share 13.79 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 |
The market value of Globe Life is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Globe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Globe Life's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Globe Life's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Globe Life's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Globe Life's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Globe Life's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Globe Life is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Globe Life's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.